La Roche VF vs Aubagne: match statistics
La Roche VF vs Aubagne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
La Roche VF played Aubagne in National (France). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Stade Henri Desgrange. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
La Roche VF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Aubagne: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
La Roche VF scores 1.50 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Aubagne scores 0.63 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: La Roche VF 63%, Aubagne 25%. Over 2.5: La Roche VF 38%, Aubagne 38%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. La Roche VF: 10.6 shots per match, Aubagne: 9.5.
Match halves
La Roche VF: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Aubagne: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
La Roche VF: 46-60 (5 goals). Aubagne: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
La Roche VF top the table and remain unbeaten after 8 matches, while 16th-placed Aubagne have already lost 5 of their 8 games. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 7 goals, while the visitors recorded 2 wins and scored 5 goals over the same period. At home, La Roche average 2 goals per match and have scored in every game, whereas Aubagne average just 0.5 goals away from home and have failed to score in 75% of their matches. The quality of chances also favors the hosts: their home xG stands at 1.39, while Aubagne concede chances worth 1.94 xG away from home. A draw remains possible, as La Roche have drawn half of their home matches and concede an average of 1.5 goals there, but the visitors' poor attacking output points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal that at least one team will fail to score is their season-long scoring record: La Roche VF have failed to score in 50% of their matches, while Aubagne have done so in 75%. For both teams, BTTS - Yes has landed in just 25% of matches, below the league average of 43%. The visitors score an average of just 0.5 goals per match despite an xG of 1.15, and their shot conversion rate is 5%, making their failure to score the main risk to a BTTS - Yes selection. The last five matches offer some counter-evidence: both teams scored in 60% of La Roche VF’s games and 40% of Aubagne’s, but over that period each side conceded an average of just 0.8 goals. Therefore, the hosts’ improved attacking output of 1.4 goals per match over their last five appearances does not outweigh the season-long figures, which point to BTTS - No—that is, at least one team is expected to fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been breached in any of La Roche VF’s home games or Aubagne’s away games so far. Aubagne average just 0.5 goals away from home and have failed to score in 75% of those matches, limiting the chances of a high-scoring game. La Roche VF average 0.75 goals at home, although the hosts’ xG is 1.19 and Aubagne’s xG against is 1.94, making a home goal likely. In each team’s last five matches, at least three goals were scored in 40% of games, so the 2.5 line offers a weaker signal than 3.5. The total-goals projection of 2.2 takes into account both teams’ low scoring efficiency and the possibility that La Roche VF will exploit the visitors’ defensive frailties.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: La Roche VF went into the break level in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Aubagne did so in 3 of 5. After the break, the advantage shifts to the hosts, who averaged 1.2 goals in the second half in those matches compared with Aubagne’s 0.4, and won that half 4 times out of 5. La Roche VF have earned 11 points from their last 5 matches, while the visitors have collected 7, and the hosts’ average xG is 1.19 against 1.94 xG conceded by Aubagne. The hosts’ season average of just 0.75 points per match calls for caution, but their current form and effectiveness after the break point most strongly to the X/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| La Roche VF | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.14 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
La Roche VF is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - La Roche VF · 1.4 pts / match - Aubagne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Roche VF is 138% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - La Roche VF · 0.63 goals / match - Aubagne
La Roche VF is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - La Roche VF · 1.13 goals / match - Aubagne
La Roche VF scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Aubagne keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Aubagne scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while La Roche VF keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - La Roche VF
Over / Under - Aubagne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Roche VF is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - La Roche VF · 0.88 pts / match - Aubagne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
La Roche VF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aubagne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
La Roche VF
Aubagne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| La Roche VF | Liga | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.38 | 2.33 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 38% | 37% | • 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 34% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 74% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of La Roche VF vs Aubagne?
The National match finished La Roche VF 3:1 Aubagne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before La Roche VF vs Aubagne?
La Roche VF score 1.50 goals per game on average and Aubagne 0.63. The National average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 63% of La Roche VF's matches and 25% of Aubagne's.
What form are La Roche VF and Aubagne in?
Over the last 5 games La Roche VF have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Aubagne 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Roche VF vs Aubagne?
The statistical background for La Roche VF vs Aubagne — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.