La Serena vs Colo-Colo: match statistics
La Serena vs Colo-Colo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
La Serena played Colo-Colo in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Estadio La Portada de La Serena. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
La Serena: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Colo-Colo: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
La Serena scores 1.38 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Colo-Colo scores 1.69 and concedes 0.77. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: La Serena 46%, Colo-Colo 38%. Over 2.5: La Serena 54%, Colo-Colo 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Colo-Colo has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.25. La Serena: 11.2 shots per match, Colo-Colo: 14.8.
Match halves
La Serena: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.54. Colo-Colo: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
La Serena: 31-45+ (6 goals). Colo-Colo: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Colo-Colo is the favorite: they sit 1st with a record of 10 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses and 22 goals scored, while La Serena has 4 wins and 18 goals this season. In the last 5 matches the visitors scored 13 goals (2.6 per game) and average 2.4 points, whereas the hosts have 9 goals (1.8 per game) and average 1.6 points, indicating superior attacking form from the visitors. Colo-Colo produces higher-quality chances: average possession 61% vs 49%, average xG away 1.48 vs 1.29 for the hosts, and more shots 12.5 vs 11.14. La Serena’s strengths at home are a low 0.71 goals conceded per game and 43% clean sheets, plus better shot conversion 14% vs 11% — however 29% of their home matches end with them failing to score. Considering the visitors’ advantage in xG, possession, 13 goals in 5 matches, absence of scoreless away games (FTS 0%) and an 83% away win rate, I predict a Colo-Colo victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I indicate BTTS - Yes as the most likely scenario because both teams display a strong recent trend toward mutual scoring: La Serena had BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches and Colo‑Colo in 80%. La Serena averages 2.0 goals per game this season with xG 1.78, but in the last 5 matches scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) and conceded 1.8 on average, suggesting increased vulnerability to conceding. Colo‑Colo has 22 goals this season and concedes 0.83 per game on average; in their last 5 matches they scored 13 goals (2.6 per game) with last5 xG 1.79 and a season clean sheet rate of 0%. Additionally, last5 xG are 1.4 (La Serena) and 1.79 (Colo‑Colo), the combined goals of both teams in their last 5 matches is 22 (4.4 per game), and average shots on target are 6.29 vs 4.33, indicating a high number of chances for both sides. Considering season BTTS 29% (La Serena) and 50% (Colo‑Colo) against the league average BTTS 48%, but strong recent trends of 60% and 80%, I estimate the probability of BTTS at 72% versus 28% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model estimates 1.44 goals for La Serena ((1.78 + 1.09)/2) and 1.15 for Colo‑Colo ((1.48 + 0.82)/2), totaling ≈2.59 goals. In the last 5 matches La Serena averaged 1.8 goals and Colo‑Colo 2.6 goals (9 and 13 goals respectively in the last 5), which increases the likelihood of more goals compared to seasonal averages. A Poisson distribution simulation with mean 2.59 yields roughly 73% probability for Over 1.5, about 48% for Over 2.5 and about 26% for Over 3.5. Seasonal indicators partially corroborate this: La Serena had 57% of matches Over 1.5, Colo‑Colo 50%, and the league records 51% of matches Over 2.5, so the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The first half is expected to be low-scoring: La Serena averages 0.57 goals by HT, Colo-Colo 0.67, and clean sheets at the break occur in 71% of home matches and 67% of away matches, which favors a level score at 45 minutes. For the full match, however, Colo-Colo has the better chances — the visitors have an 83% win rate this season and an 80% win rate in the last five matches, and in those five games they score an average of 2.6 goals versus La Serena’s 1.8. Although La Serena’s seasonal xG is 1.78 compared to Colo-Colo’s 1.48 and they register more on-target shots (6.29 vs 4.33), their goals tend to come after the break (on average 1.43), and the visitors’ current form and efficiency prevail. Therefore I recommend HT/FT X/2 (draw at half-time, Colo-Colo to win) with an assigned probability of 28%; alternatives are X/X 18% and 2/2 14%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| La Serena | Colo-Colo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Colo-Colo is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - La Serena · 2.4 pts / match - Colo-Colo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colo-Colo is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - La Serena · 1.69 goals / match - Colo-Colo
Colo-Colo is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - La Serena · 0.77 goals / match - Colo-Colo
La Serena scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Colo-Colo keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).
Colo-Colo scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - La Serena
Over / Under - Colo-Colo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 31%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Colo-Colo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
La Serena
Colo-Colo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| La Serena | Liga | Colo-Colo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | • 46% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 50% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): La Serena 0 - 0 - 2 Colo-Colo. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of La Serena vs Colo-Colo?
The Primera División match finished La Serena 2:4 Colo-Colo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between La Serena and Colo-Colo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches La Serena won 0, Colo-Colo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before La Serena vs Colo-Colo?
La Serena score 1.38 goals per game on average and Colo-Colo 1.69. The Primera División average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 46% of La Serena's matches and 38% of Colo-Colo's.
What form are La Serena and Colo-Colo in?
Over the last 5 games La Serena have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Colo-Colo 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Serena vs Colo-Colo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.