La Serena vs Everton: match statistics
La Serena vs Everton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
La Serena played Everton in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
La Serena: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Everton: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
La Serena scores 1.13 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Everton scores 0.75 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: La Serena 38%, Everton 13%. Over 2.5: La Serena 50%, Everton 38%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Everton has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.13. La Serena: 10.0 shots per match, Everton: 11.5.
Match halves
La Serena: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. Everton: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
La Serena: 31-45+ (4 goals). Everton: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
La Serena has a slight offensive edge at home — averaging 1.5 goals per match with 4.5 shots on target and a 15% conversion rate, while Everton averages 1.25 goals on the road with 3.75 shots on target and a 12% conversion. Everton fails to score in 50% of their away matches, whereas La Serena kept a clean sheet offensively (i.e., failed to score) at home in only 25% of games, which further amplifies the home advantage. xG values show similar attacking quality (La Serena 1.15 xG vs Everton 1.12 xG), but Everton concedes more expected goals away (1.72 xG against vs 1.34 xG against for La Serena), theoretically making them more vulnerable defensively. On the other hand, Everton conceded only 3 goals in their last 5 matches while La Serena conceded 7, and both teams average 1.6 points per game over that period, which limits the hosts’ edge. Considering La Serena’s better efficiency and higher number of shots on target at home and Everton’s high rate of goalless away games, I predict a La Serena win; probabilities estimated at 55% home, 25% draw, 20% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
La Serena at home scores only 0.25 goals per game, has 50% clean sheets and a season BTTS rate of 0%, which strongly argues against BTTS. Everton away averages 1.25 goals and only 25% of away matches saw both teams score; in the last 5 away games they conceded 0.6 goals per match on average (3 conceded in 5), indicating a more solid away defence. La Serena at home has xG 1.34 with an actual return of 0.25 goals and a very low shot conversion of 2%, while Everton converts around 12% and has xG against 1.72 — the hosts create chances but fail to convert. League-wide BTTS occurs in 45% of matches on average, however La Serena’s extreme home stats (0% BTTS, 50% clean sheets) and Everton’s defensive improvement in the last 5 matches shift the edge toward a No Goal scenario. Based on this I assign 70% for 'no' and 30% for 'yes'; the best pick is 'no' due to the hosts' very low home goal output.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis shows La Serena generates on average 1.34 xG per match and Everton 1.12 xG, while their opponents allow 1.35 (La Serena) and 1.72 (Everton) respectively. Averaging these figures yields an expected ~1.53 goals for La Serena and ~1.24 for Everton, giving a total of 2.77 expected goals. At this combined xG level the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 76%, Over 2.5 is estimated at ~52%, while Over 3.5 is unlikely (~30%). Additionally, La Serena averages 12.25 shots with a low conversion rate of 2%, and Everton 10.75 shots with a 12% conversion rate, which confirms goals will be created but not plentiful—therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Everton leading at half-time and the visitors winning at full-time (2/2), because Everton led at the break in 50% of matches while La Serena did so in 0%. Average goals at half-time are 0.25 for La Serena versus 1.25 for Everton, and for full-time 1.25 (La Serena) vs 2.5 (Everton), which favors the visitors for the final win. La Serena does have a higher xG (1.34) than Everton (1.12), but the hosts convert chances far less efficiently — a conversion rate of 2% from an average of 12.25 shots (≈0.25 goals), whereas Everton converts 12% from 10.75 shots (≈1.29 goals). La Serena are tied at half-time in 75% of matches and average 0.0 goals by the break, so the most probable outcomes are: 2/2 (41%), alternatively X/2 (20%) and X/X (15%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| La Serena | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Serena is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - La Serena · 0.75 goals / match - Everton
Everton is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - La Serena · 1.13 goals / match - Everton
La Serena scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Everton keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Everton scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - La Serena
Over / Under - Everton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Serena is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - La Serena · 1.38 pts / match - Everton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Everton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
La Serena
Everton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| La Serena | Liga | Everton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.66 | ▼ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 45% | ▼ 13% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): La Serena 1 - 0 - 1 Everton. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of La Serena vs Everton?
The Primera División match finished La Serena 1:0 Everton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between La Serena and Everton?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches La Serena won 1, Everton won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before La Serena vs Everton?
La Serena score 1.13 goals per game on average and Everton 0.75. The Primera División average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 38% of La Serena's matches and 13% of Everton's.
What form are La Serena and Everton in?
Over the last 5 games La Serena have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Everton 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Serena vs Everton?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for La Serena vs Everton: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.