La Serena vs Huachipato: match statistics
La Serena vs Huachipato: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
La Serena played Huachipato in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
La Serena: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Huachipato: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
La Serena scores 1.30 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Huachipato scores 1.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: La Serena 40%, Huachipato 50%. Over 2.5: La Serena 50%, Huachipato 70%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Huachipato has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.20. La Serena: 10.9 shots per match, Huachipato: 13.0.
Match halves
La Serena: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.30. Huachipato: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
La Serena: 31-45+ (6 goals). Huachipato: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
La Serena possesses home advantage: at home they score an average of 1.4 goals and concede only 0.8 per match, recording 40% wins and 20% losses in home fixtures. Huachipato sit higher in the table (3rd vs 12th) and have 18 goals this season compared to La Serena's 13, but their effectiveness drops on the road — averaging 1.0 goal and 60% of away matches without scoring. Chance quality favors the hosts: La Serena averages 4.6 shots on target and 10.4 total shots per home match with a 13% conversion rate, while Huachipato manage 3.2 shots on target and a 9% conversion rate away. The xG of both teams is similar (1.21 La Serena vs 1.22 Huachipato), but the visitors have a higher xG conceded on the road (1.57 vs 1.25), indicating greater defensive error risk for Huachipato. Considering Huachipato's 3 wins in the last 5 matches versus La Serena's 2 and the average points per game (1.8 vs 1.6), but also the visitors' poor away finishing, I tip a home win and estimate probabilities at 50% for La Serena, 25% for a draw and 25% for Huachipato.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes as the more likely outcome (70% vs 30%). La Serena at home averages 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100%, 0% clean sheets and 100% of matches over 2.5 goals, strongly indicating the opponent will score. Huachipato shows seasonal averages of 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded with a seasonal BTTS of 0% and 40% clean sheets, but in the last 5 matches Huachipato has 60% BTTS, averaging 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded, so they have recently been conceding as well. Additionally La Serena has higher xG (1.75 vs 1.22), more shots on target (7.2 vs 3.2) and better conversion rate (17% vs 9%), which increases the probability both sides will score. Considering La Serena’s dominant home profile and the hosts’ lack of clean sheets (0%), the signal for BTTS 'Yes' is strongest.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: La Serena has xG_for 1.75, Huachipato xG_for 1.22, and xG against of 1.57 (away) and 1.53 (home), yielding expected goals ≈1.66 for La Serena and ≈1.38 for Huachipato, total ≈3.04. Shot metrics confirm home pressure: La Serena averages 15 shots and 7.2 on target with a 17% conversion, versus Huachipato 11 shots, 3.2 on target and 9% conversion. Seasonal rates show La Serena at home has 100% of matches over 2.5 goals and 60% over 3.5, while Huachipato away has 40% over 2.5 and 0% over 3.5, which increases the likelihood of a moderately high-scoring game favoring the hosts. A Poisson model for total 3.04 gives approximate probabilities P(>1.5)≈81%, P(>2.5)≈59% and P(>3.5)≈36%, therefore the strongest signal from the data is a bet on Over 1.5; Over 2.5 remains value at higher odds, and Over 3.5 is too risky.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
La Serena has a significant home advantage: 80% home wins, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, and higher xG (1.75 vs 1.22 for Huachipato); the hosts register 15 shots and 7.2 on target compared with 11 and 3.2 for the visitors. Despite this, La Serena performs worse by half-time — averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at the break, leading at the break in 0% of matches, drawing in 40% and trailing in 60%. The second 45 minutes are crucial: the hosts average 2.2 goals after the break, and the average number of goals in the second halves of their matches is 2.8, with 80% of their wins being decided after the break. Huachipato has lower offensive potential (xG 1.22, shot conversion 9% with 3.2 shots on target) and keeps a clean sheet in 40% of away games, which makes them dangerous at half-time but less consistent later; therefore the strongest signal from the data is Huachipato leading at half-time followed by a La Serena turnaround after the break (HT=2 → FT=1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| La Serena | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Huachipato is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - La Serena · 1.8 pts / match - Huachipato
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Huachipato is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - La Serena · 1.8 goals / match - Huachipato
La Serena scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Huachipato keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Huachipato scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - La Serena
Over / Under - Huachipato
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Serena is 217% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - La Serena · 0.6 pts / match - Huachipato
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Huachipato - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
La Serena
Huachipato
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| La Serena | Liga | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.70 | 2.63 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): La Serena 0 - 0 - 2 Huachipato. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of La Serena vs Huachipato?
The Primera División match finished La Serena 0:0 Huachipato. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between La Serena and Huachipato?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches La Serena won 0, Huachipato won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before La Serena vs Huachipato?
La Serena score 1.30 goals per game on average and Huachipato 1.80. The Primera División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 40% of La Serena's matches and 50% of Huachipato's.
What form are La Serena and Huachipato in?
Over the last 5 games La Serena have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Huachipato 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Serena vs Huachipato?
The statistical background for La Serena vs Huachipato — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.