La Serena vs Universidad Chile: match statistics
La Serena vs Universidad Chile: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
La Serena played Universidad Chile in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Venue: Estadio La Portada de La Serena. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
La Serena: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Universidad Chile: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
La Serena scores 1.55 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Universidad Chile scores 1.45 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: La Serena 59%, Universidad Chile 50%. Over 2.5: La Serena 55%, Universidad Chile 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Universidad Chile has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.32. La Serena: 12.1 shots per match, Universidad Chile: 15.2.
Match halves
La Serena: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.77. Universidad Chile: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
La Serena: 31-45+ (9 goals). Universidad Chile: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
La Serena are unbeaten in their last five league matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws with a 9:5 goal difference, while Universidad Chile have lost 2 of their last 5 games. At home, the hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per match and register 5.18 shots on target—clearly more than the visitors away from home, who average 1.00 goal and 4 shots on target. Universidad Chile do occupy a higher league position, third compared with ninth, and boast a stronger away defensive record, conceding an average of 0.91 goals. However, they fail to score in as many as 36% of their away matches. La Serena are in better current scoring form and can benefit from home advantage, so they are given slightly better chances of securing the win, with a significant draw risk.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for both teams to score is further strengthened by their current form: Universidad Chile recorded BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches, while La Serena did so in 60%. During this period, the visitors averaged 2.2 goals scored, while La Serena averaged 1.8, indicating that both attacks have shown sufficient efficiency. At home, La Serena average 1.93 xG and 6.55 shots on target per match, while the visitors’ defense allows an average of 1.33 xG. Universidad Chile have recently generated as much as 2.23 xG per game, while the hosts allowed opponents 1.78 xG across their last five appearances, clearly increasing the likelihood of an away goal. The season-long BTTS figures are more moderate—55% for La Serena and 45% for Universidad Chile—but the current goal-scoring data support a BTTS - Yes scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
La Serena score an average of 1.91 goals at home and create chances worth 1.93 xG, while Universidad Chile concede just 0.91 goals per away match. The visitors have improved offensively in their last five games, averaging 2.2 goals from 2.23 xG, which makes the Over/Under 2.5 goals line very finely balanced. At the same time, both teams rarely feature in extremely open games: fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 73% of La Serena's matches and 82% of Universidad Chile's matches. Neither side conceded more than 2 goals in a single match in a high percentage of their games this season, while the projected total of 2.65 goals leaves a clear margin below four goals. Therefore, the strongest option is Under 3.5 goals, supported by a 71% probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a La Serena victory, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 55% of their matches, while Universidad Chile did so in as many as 73%. The first halves should be cautious: both teams average just 0.91 goals before the break, while La Serena concede only 0.27 goals per match during this period. After the break, the hosts’ advantage increases significantly, as they score an average of 1.27 goals compared with 0.55 for the visitors, and their goal difference in this half stands at +8. La Serena win 64% of their matches and score an average of 1.91 goals per game, while Universidad Chile lose 36% of their away fixtures and have conceded an average of 1.60 goals in their last five appearances. The hosts’ superiority is also evident in the quality of chances created: their average xG is 1.93 compared with 1.47 for their opponents, while shots on target stand at 6.55 versus 4.00.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| La Serena | Universidad Chile | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
La Serena is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - La Serena · 1.8 pts / match - Universidad Chile
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Serena is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - La Serena · 1.45 goals / match - Universidad Chile
Universidad Chile is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - La Serena · 0.86 goals / match - Universidad Chile
La Serena scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Universidad Chile keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
Universidad Chile scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - La Serena
Over / Under - Universidad Chile
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Serena is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - La Serena · 1.45 pts / match - Universidad Chile
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Universidad Chile - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
La Serena
Universidad Chile
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| La Serena | Liga | Universidad Chile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.14 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): La Serena 0 - 1 - 2 Universidad Chile. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of La Serena vs Universidad Chile?
The Primera División match finished La Serena 0:3 Universidad Chile. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between La Serena and Universidad Chile?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches La Serena won 0, Universidad Chile won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before La Serena vs Universidad Chile?
La Serena score 1.55 goals per game on average and Universidad Chile 1.45. The Primera División average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 59% of La Serena's matches and 50% of Universidad Chile's.
What form are La Serena and Universidad Chile in?
Over the last 5 games La Serena have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Universidad Chile 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Serena vs Universidad Chile?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.