Laçi vs Vllaznia Shkodër: match statistics

Laçi are showing clearly better current form, earning 10 points from their last 5 matches with 3 wins, a draw and a defeat, while Vllaznia have collected 5 points over the same period. The hosts have scored 7 goals in each of their last five matches, but the visitors’ defence looks far less stable, having conceded as many as 12 goals compared with Laçi’s 6. At home, Laçi create chances with an average xG of 1.44, higher than Vllaznia’s away xG of 1.18, while also enjoying 50% possession compared with the visitors’ 38%. Both teams average 10 shots and 4 shots on target per match; however, Vllaznia are still without a league win, and all of their away matches so far have ended in draws. Laçi are also yet to win at home and concede an average of 2 goals there, so a draw remains a realistic scenario, but the stronger form trend gives the hosts a slight edge.

The signal for both teams to score is very strong: Laçi and Vllaznia Shkodër have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches this season, and neither team has kept a clean sheet yet. In their last five matches, both sides recorded BTTS in 80% of games, averaging 1.4 goals scored per team. Laçi creates plenty of chances at home, as reflected by an average of 1.98 xG, 16 shots, and 5.5 shots on target, while Vllaznia conceded as many as 2.4 goals per match across their last five appearances. The visitors also offer attacking potential, with recent xG of 1.78, while Laçi have failed to keep a clean sheet at any point this season. The BTTS - Yes scenario is therefore clearly more likely than BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team fails to score.

The profile of both teams is conducive to goals: Laçi averaged 1.4 goals in their last five matches, while Vllaznia also averaged 1.4. The visitors conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game during this period, while the hosts created an average of 1.64 xG, which strengthens their chances of scoring at least once. Both teams have scored and conceded in every match so far this season, while in the last five matches involving either side, both teams scored in 80% of games. The 2.5 line offers positive potential, as over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of Laçi’s last matches and 80% of Vllaznia’s, but Over 1.5 stands out as the safer option. The projected total of 2.90 goals provides a clear edge over the 1.5 line, with limited risk of a 0:0 or 1:0 result.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a Laçi win after 90 minutes (X/1), as the hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.0 points in those games compared with Vllaznia’s 1.0. The opening phase could be evenly matched: both teams were level at the break in 40% of their last five appearances, while Laçi scored just 0.2 goals per match before half-time. After the interval, the hosts’ advantage increases significantly, as they average 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, whereas Vllaznia concede as many as 1.4 goals after the break. In addition, the visitors have allowed their opponents an average of 2.4 goals per match in their last five games, while Laçi create more chances, as reflected by their xG figures of 1.98 versus 1.18 and 16 shots compared with 10.