Lahti vs Ilves: match statistics
Lahti vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lahti played Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Lahti: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ilves: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lahti scores 0.88 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Ilves scores 1.44 and concedes 1.78. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lahti 63%, Ilves 78%. Over 2.5: Lahti 38%, Ilves 67%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Lahti has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.14. Lahti: 10.9 shots per match, Ilves: 9.2.
Match halves
Lahti: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.13. Ilves: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Lahti: 31-45+ (3 goals). Ilves: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ilves arrives in Lahti as a narrow favorite: the visitors have scored 13 goals this season versus the hosts' 7, and in the last 5 matches Ilves has netted 10 goals with 3 wins, while Lahti has 7 goals and 2 wins. Away, Ilves averages 1.6 goals per game with a shot conversion rate of 16%, whereas Lahti at home scores 1.0 goal with a 9% conversion, giving the visitors an attacking efficiency edge. Lahti, however, holds a defensive advantage at home: the hosts concede 1.25 goals per game on average and their xG against is 1.06, while Ilves concedes 2.0 goals away with an xG against of 1.87, so Lahti can limit opponents' chance creation. Both teams have 0% clean sheets, and possession difference is notable — Lahti 56% vs Ilves 47% — indicating home control but not necessarily greater effectiveness. Considering Ilves' superior shot efficiency and an average of 2.0 points per game in the last 5 matches versus Lahti's 1.6, I tip the visitors to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes. Ilves has a season BTTS rate of 100%, Lahti 50%, and Lahti has recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, which is a strong signal that both teams are scoring. Both sides concede frequently: Lahti concedes 1.5 goals per game season-wide (1.0 in last 5), Ilves 2.0 season-wide (1.0 in last 5), so scoring opportunities from both teams are likely. This is supported by xG and shots — season xG_for 1.09 (Lahti) vs 1.18 (Ilves), xG_against 1.25 vs 1.87 and average shots 8.0 (3.0 on target) vs 10.2 (3.6 on target), indicating Ilves’ advantage in chance creation and defensive vulnerabilities. Ilves has 0% clean sheets this season and the league BTTS sits at 50%, therefore I assess BTTS probability at 80% and No Goal at 20%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast favors Over 1.5 – the model estimates probability at around 75% (Under 25%). Estimated expected goals are 1.48 for Lahti and 1.22 for Ilves, totaling 2.70 goals; these values were derived as the average of team offensive xG and opponent defensive xG (Lahti xG_for 1.09 vs Ilves xG_against 1.87; Ilves xG_for 1.18 vs Lahti xG_against 1.25). Ilves scores on average 1.6 goals per game and has BTTS 100%, with its matches showing an 80% share in Over 2.5; Lahti scores 1.25 goals and in 75% of matches more than 1.5 goals are scored, which together increases the chance of at least two goals in the match. Shot statistics support the offense: Ilves 10.2 shots and 3.6 on target, Lahti 8.0 and 3.0 with a 16% conversion for both teams, so I expect several clear scoring opportunities. Considering the combined average score of 2.70 (which translates to approximately a 51% chance of Over 2.5 and ~29% for Over 3.5), the strongest signal from the data is to play Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Ilves leading at the break and the visitors winning (HT/FT 2/2). In the last 5 matches Ilves led at the break in 60% of cases (3 of 5), while Lahti led only in 20% (1 of 5); the average first-half goals in the last 5 games are 1.0 for Ilves versus 0.8 for Lahti. Ilves has better form over the last 5 matches (results: W D L W W, 60% wins) and a higher goals-per-game average in the last 5 matches, 2.0 vs 1.4 for Lahti, and additionally generates more shots (10.2 vs 8.0) and more shots on target (3.6 vs 3.0). xG is similar (1.18 for Ilves vs 1.09 for Lahti), but Ilves more frequently scores in earlier phases and their seasonal stats show 100% BTTS, which supports the scenario of the visitors leading at the break and winning; Lahti, however, tends to score late (2 goals in minutes 76–90), so the chance of a draw or a turnaround exists but is a weaker signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lahti | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ilves is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Lahti · 1.6 pts / match - Ilves
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Lahti · 1.44 goals / match - Ilves
Lahti is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Lahti · 1.78 goals / match - Ilves
Lahti scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Ilves scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Lahti keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lahti
Over / Under - Ilves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Lahti · 1.56 pts / match - Ilves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lahti - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lahti
Ilves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Lahti | Liga | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.34 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 49% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 72% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Lahti vs Ilves?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Lahti 5:0 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lahti vs Ilves?
Lahti score 0.88 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.44. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Lahti's matches and 78% of Ilves's.
What form are Lahti and Ilves in?
Over the last 5 games Lahti have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ilves 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lahti vs Ilves?
The statistical background for Lahti vs Ilves — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.