Lahti vs Oulu: match statistics
Lahti vs Oulu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lahti played Oulu in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Lahti: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Oulu: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lahti scores 0.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Oulu scores 2.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lahti 33%, Oulu 50%. Over 2.5: Lahti 33%, Oulu 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Oulu has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.29. Lahti: 12.3 shots per match, Oulu: 13.0.
Match halves
Lahti: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. Oulu: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Lahti: 31-45+ (1 goals). Oulu: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Oulu are the favorites: the visitors average 2.67 goals away and have a 67% away win rate, while Lahti at home record an average of 0 goals per match, 100% of matches without scoring and a 0% home win rate. The difference in finishing is clear: Oulu converts about 20% of shots and averages 4.67 on-target shots away, whereas Lahti have only 2 on-target shots at home and a declared conversion rate of 0%, explaining the large goals gap. Looking at xG, chances created are similar (Oulu xG away 1.48 vs Lahti xG home 1.38), which suggests finishing efficiency, not a lack of chances, determines the outcome. Defensively Lahti concede on average 2.0 goals at home and have conceded 9 goals in the last 5 matches, while Oulu concede 1.33 goals away and have 33% clean sheets on the road, giving the visitors an organizational edge. Considering league position (Oulu 2nd vs Lahti 6th) and better recent form in the last 5 matches (1.8 vs 1.2 average points), I forecast an away win; I estimate probabilities at 65% for Oulu, 20% for a draw and 15% for Lahti.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In my assessment, BTTS = No is more likely: 65% vs 35%. The strongest signal is Lahti's home defence — an average of 0.0 goals conceded at home and 100% clean sheets this season, with a seasonal home BTTS rate of 0%. However, Oulu possesses clear attacking strength: 2.67 goals per game on the season, away BTTS rate 67%, averaging 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches with 60% BTTS. xG and shot data confirm the visitors' pressure — xG for Oulu 1.48 versus xG against Lahti 1.09, 4.67 shots on target compared to 2.0 for the hosts and conversion 20% vs 9%. Despite Oulu's attacking edge, Lahti's extreme clean sheet metric (100% and 0.0 goals conceded at home) and the league's lower BTTS level (42%) prevail, so I tip 'No' with a probability of 65%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model predicts 1.34 xG for Lahti and 1.29 xG for Oulu (total 2.63 xG), which indicates the match should produce at least 2 goals. Oulu has a seasonal goals-per-game average of 2.67 and a shot conversion rate of 20% on an average of 13.67 shots, while Lahti concedes an average of 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches; these figures increase pressure on the home defense. Historically Oulu has 67% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, and in the last 5 matches involving both teams 60% of games finished over 2.5, so I estimate the probability of Over 2.5 at about 62%. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (88% in my assessment) — Over 2.5 also makes sense (62%), whereas Over 3.5 appears unlikely (27%) given the combined expected goals of 2.63 and the lower individual team xG figures.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Analysis of first halves shows an advantage for Oulu: the visitors led at the break in 2 matches (67%) and scored a total of 6 goals before halftime, i.e. 1.33 goals per half on average, whereas Lahti did not score at all before the break (0.0 average). Nonetheless Lahti has a perfect win record this season (100% wins) and clearly scores after the interval — on average 1.0 goal in the second half and 100% wins in second halves, which indicates an ability to execute a turnaround after halftime. Additionally Oulu displays superior offensive production: on average 4.67 shots on target versus 2.0 for Lahti, a 20% conversion rate versus 9%, and higher xG (1.48 vs 1.19), increasing the probability that they take the lead before the break. Therefore the strongest signal is the scenario where Oulu leads at halftime but Lahti wins after full-time — the comparison of Oulu’s 67% HT leads versus Lahti’s 100% second-half wins supports this outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lahti | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.56 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oulu is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Lahti · 2.25 pts / match - Oulu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oulu is 236% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Lahti · 2.25 goals / match - Oulu
Oulu is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Lahti · 1 goals / match - Oulu
Lahti scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Oulu scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Lahti keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lahti
Over / Under - Oulu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oulu is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Lahti · 2 pts / match - Oulu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lahti - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Oulu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lahti
Oulu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Lahti | Liga | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.50 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Lahti vs Oulu?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Lahti 2:1 Oulu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lahti vs Oulu?
Lahti score 0.67 goals per game on average and Oulu 2.25. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Lahti's matches and 50% of Oulu's.
What form are Lahti and Oulu in?
Over the last 5 games Lahti have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Oulu 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lahti vs Oulu?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.