Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United: match statistics
Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lamphun Warrior played Ayutthaya United in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Lamphun Warrior: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Ayutthaya United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lamphun Warrior scores 1.20 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Ayutthaya United scores 1.24 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lamphun Warrior 68%, Ayutthaya United 60%. Over 2.5: Lamphun Warrior 52%, Ayutthaya United 44%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Ayutthaya United has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.38. Lamphun Warrior: 12.7 shots per match, Ayutthaya United: 14.0.
Match halves
Lamphun Warrior: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.76. Ayutthaya United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Lamphun Warrior: 46-60 (10 goals). Ayutthaya United: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Thai League T1: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an Ayutthaya United (2) victory. The visitors have 8 wins this season and a 50% away win rate, while Lamphun has only 3 wins this season and just an 8% home win rate, with the hosts drawing as many as 75% of their home matches. Both teams average 1.58 goals scored (home team at home 1.58, visitors away 1.58), but Ayutthaya registers more shots on target: 5.42 per match versus 4.67 and has a higher conversion rate of 12% vs 11%. Defensively the visitors look better on paper — they concede 1.17 goals on average away versus 1.58 for the hosts and record 33% clean sheets compared to 8% for Lamphun. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Ayutthaya averages 1.8 points per game (3 wins), while Lamphun has 1.2 points and only 1 win, which confirms the visitors' advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates for both teams are high: Lamphun 62% and Ayutthaya 58%, versus a league average of 56%, indicating a propensity for Goal/Goal matches. Lamphun concedes 1.62 goals per match on average, while Ayutthaya scores 1.58 goals, so they have a realistic chance of finding the net. However, Ayutthaya has a 33% clean sheet expected rate this season and only 20% BTTS in their last 5 matches, which reduces confidence in BTTS in the short term. Chance creation is similar: xG 1.52 (Lamphun) vs 1.55 (Ayutthaya), with xG against 1.46 (Lamphun) and 1.65 (Ayutthaya); Ayutthaya registers more shots on target (5.42 vs 4.31) and has better finishing (12% vs 7%). Considering season BTTS ~60%, Lamphun's susceptibility to conceding (1.62) and Ayutthaya's efficiency, I favor the 'BTTS - Yes' scenario and propose BTTS 65% vs 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis indicates a goals game: Lamphun has xG 1.52, Ayutthaya 1.55, with xG against 1.46 (Lamphun) and 1.65 (Ayutthaya), yielding modelled expected goals of 1.59 for the home side and 1.51 for the away side (total 3.10). Actual season goals per game are 0.92 for Lamphun and 1.58 for Ayutthaya, but the home team averages 14.15 shots (4.31 on target) while the visitors average 13.75 (5.42 on target) and have conversion rates of 7% vs 12% respectively, suggesting Ayutthaya is more efficient. 77% of Lamphun’s matches finished Over 1.5 goals and 58% for Ayutthaya, and both teams have BTTS rates of 62% and 58%, so at least two goals is highly likely. Given the total xG ~3.10 and strong over1.5 metrics (77%/58%), I recommend the Over side on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal; Over 2.5 is moderately likely (~58%), while Over 3.5 looks unlikely (~32%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics clearly favor Ayutthaya United: the visitors average 1.58 goals per match versus Lamphun’s 0.92, average 1.83 points per match versus the hosts’ 0.77, and win 50% of matches compared to Lamphun’s 15%. In first halves Ayutthaya average 0.58 goals by the break versus the hosts’ 0.31 and lead at the break in 33% of matches compared to Lamphun’s 15%. Additionally, the visitors have an xG of 1.55 versus 1.52 for the hosts, register more shots on target (5.42 vs 4.31) and convert better (12% vs 7%), which increases the likelihood of scoring both before and after the break. In their last five matches Ayutthaya led at the break in 60% of games and won 60% of matches, whereas Lamphun had only 40% leads and 20% wins over the same period. On this basis the most likely scenario is Ayutthaya leading at half-time and the visitors winning after 90 minutes (2/2), so I assign the highest probability to that outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lamphun Warrior | Ayutthaya United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ayutthaya United is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Lamphun Warrior · 1.2 pts / match - Ayutthaya United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayutthaya United is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Lamphun Warrior · 1.4 goals / match - Ayutthaya United
Lamphun Warrior scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Ayutthaya United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Ayutthaya United scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Lamphun Warrior keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lamphun Warrior
Over / Under - Ayutthaya United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lamphun Warrior is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Lamphun Warrior · 1.04 pts / match - Ayutthaya United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lamphun Warrior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ayutthaya United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lamphun Warrior
Ayutthaya United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Lamphun Warrior | Liga | Ayutthaya United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.71 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 69% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 82% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lamphun Warrior 0 - 1 - 0 Ayutthaya United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United?
The Thai League T1 match finished Lamphun Warrior 2:0 Ayutthaya United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United?
Lamphun Warrior score 1.20 goals per game on average and Ayutthaya United 1.24. The Thai League T1 average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Lamphun Warrior's matches and 60% of Ayutthaya United's.
What form are Lamphun Warrior and Ayutthaya United in?
Over the last 5 games Lamphun Warrior have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Ayutthaya United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United?
The statistical background for Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.