Larissa vs Anagennisi Karditsas: match statistics

Larissa have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals during that spell, averaging a solid 2.2 goals per game. Anagennisi Karditsas have failed to win any of their last five fixtures, recording just one draw and scoring only 3 goals, or 0.6 per match. Both teams conceded 9 goals over this period, but the hosts are significantly more effective at exploiting their opponents’ weaknesses, holding an 11:3 advantage in goals scored. Larissa averaged 1.8 points over their last five matches, compared with just 0.2 for the visitors, making the home side the clear favourite.

Larissa have averaged 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches, giving the hosts clear potential to decide the outcome on their own. Anagennisi Karditsas, however, have scored only 3 goals during this period—just 0.6 per game—and their recent form stands at 4 defeats and 1 draw. The visitors have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match, with 1.39 xG allowed to opponents, which strengthens Larissa’s chances of scoring but does not improve the visitors’ attacking outlook. BTTS occurred in 60% of Larissa’s last 5 matches, but in only 40% of Anagennisi’s games, while the 2.2 to 0.6 gap in goal production supports a scenario in which at least one team fails to score. Therefore, BTTS - No is slightly more likely, primarily due to the possibility of Larissa keeping a clean sheet.

Larissa scored an average of 2.2 goals in their last five matches, recording 11 goals in total, while Anagennisi conceded 1.8 goals per game during that period. The hosts also allowed opponents an xG of 1.84, whereas the visitors’ weak attack managed just 0.6 goals per match from an xG of 1.09. All 5 of Larissa’s last matches went Over 2.5 goals, while this occurred in 2 of Anagennisi’s 5 games, limiting confidence in the higher lines. The estimated total of 2.70 goals strongly supports at least two goals, but the 2.5 line remains almost evenly balanced. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5, as Larissa’s scoring efficiency combined with both teams’ defensive problems gives this market a clear edge.

The strongest signal points to Larissa: over their last five matches, they averaged 2.2 goals, while Anagennisi Karditsas averaged just 0.6 and conceded 1.8 goals per game. The hosts won 3 of their last 5 matches and collected 1.8 points per game, whereas the visitors failed to win any, losing 4 of 5 and averaging only 0.2 points per match. Larissa led at the break in 60% of these matches, scoring an average of 1.2 first-half goals, while Karditsas managed just 0.4 goals before half-time. The visitors were level at half-time in all five of their last appearances, making the draw-at-half-time and Larissa-win scenario a significant alternative; however, the hosts’ advantage from the outset gives the 1/1 outcome the highest probability. After the break, Karditsas continue to show poor finishing, averaging 0.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, which further supports the forecast that Larissa will maintain their lead until full-time.