Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis: match statistics
Larissa sits 12th in the table and Asteras Tripolis 13th, which indicates a similar level for both teams. The hosts are in poor form with just 0.4 PPG in their last 5 fixtures and haven't won any of them, while the visitors secured 0.6 PPG, which is only slightly better. Larissa performs somewhat better at home with a 17% win rate and higher xG (1.27 vs 1.00), but still holds a negative goal difference (-9). Asteras Tripolis struggles heavily away from home, with just an 8% win rate and as many as 58% of matches without scoring a goal, making them a minor threat in attack. Considering the poor disposition of both sides, high draw percentages (42% for Larissa at home, 17% for Asteras away), and low attacking efficiency, the most likely outcome is a draw, although Larissa holds a slight home advantage.
Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larissa played Asteras Tripolis in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Larissa: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Asteras Tripolis: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larissa scores 0.88 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Asteras Tripolis scores 0.83 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larissa 50%, Asteras Tripolis 42%. Over 2.5: Larissa 38%, Asteras Tripolis 46%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Larissa has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.09. Larissa: 11.2 shots per match, Asteras Tripolis: 9.2.
Match halves
Larissa: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50. Asteras Tripolis: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Larissa: 31-45+ (6 goals). Asteras Tripolis: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larissa sits 12th in the table and Asteras Tripolis 13th, which indicates a similar level for both teams. The hosts are in poor form with just 0.4 PPG in their last 5 fixtures and haven't won any of them, while the visitors secured 0.6 PPG, which is only slightly better. Larissa performs somewhat better at home with a 17% win rate and higher xG (1.27 vs 1.00), but still holds a negative goal difference (-9). Asteras Tripolis struggles heavily away from home, with just an 8% win rate and as many as 58% of matches without scoring a goal, making them a minor threat in attack. Considering the poor disposition of both sides, high draw percentages (42% for Larissa at home, 17% for Asteras away), and low attacking efficiency, the most likely outcome is a draw, although Larissa holds a slight home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larissa | Asteras Tripolis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Asteras Tripolis is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Larissa · 0.6 pts / match - Asteras Tripolis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larissa is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Larissa · 0.83 goals / match - Asteras Tripolis
Larissa scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Asteras Tripolis keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Asteras Tripolis scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larissa
Over / Under - Asteras Tripolis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Asteras Tripolis is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Larissa · 0.83 pts / match - Asteras Tripolis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larissa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Asteras Tripolis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larissa
Asteras Tripolis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Larissa | Liga | Asteras Tripolis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Larissa 0 - 1 - 0 Asteras Tripolis. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis?
The Super League match finished Larissa 1:1 Asteras Tripolis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis?
Larissa score 0.88 goals per game on average and Asteras Tripolis 0.83. The Super League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Larissa's matches and 42% of Asteras Tripolis's.
What form are Larissa and Asteras Tripolis in?
Over the last 5 games Larissa have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Asteras Tripolis 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis?
The statistical background for Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.