Larissa vs Panserraikos: match statistics
Larissa has a clear advantage in this clash, despite occupying 13th place in the table. The hosts present stable form with three draws in the last five matches and a significantly better goal difference (-7) than Panserraikos (-20). The guests are in a dramatic situation away from home - they have not won any away match this season (0% effectiveness), losing as many as 88% of meetings and conceding an average of 3 goals per match. Panserraikos has not kept a clean sheet in any away match and failed to score in 63% of cases, which, with an average xG of just 0.68, shows immense offensive problems. Larissa, possessing better shot statistics (11.89 vs 6.13) and possession (42% vs 33%), and playing before their own crowd, should exploit the guests' weakness and take three points. However, Larissa's high draw rate at home (44%) justifies a significant probability of a points split.
Larissa vs Panserraikos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larissa played Panserraikos in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Larissa: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Panserraikos: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larissa scores 0.88 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Panserraikos scores 0.53 and concedes 2.41. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larissa 53%, Panserraikos 35%. Over 2.5: Larissa 41%, Panserraikos 59%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Larissa has higher xG: 1.19 vs 0.94. Larissa: 11.1 shots per match, Panserraikos: 8.9.
Match halves
Larissa: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.53. Panserraikos: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Larissa: 46-60 (4 goals). Panserraikos: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larissa has a clear advantage in this clash, despite occupying 13th place in the table. The hosts present stable form with three draws in the last five matches and a significantly better goal difference (-7) than Panserraikos (-20). The guests are in a dramatic situation away from home - they have not won any away match this season (0% effectiveness), losing as many as 88% of meetings and conceding an average of 3 goals per match. Panserraikos has not kept a clean sheet in any away match and failed to score in 63% of cases, which, with an average xG of just 0.68, shows immense offensive problems. Larissa, possessing better shot statistics (11.89 vs 6.13) and possession (42% vs 33%), and playing before their own crowd, should exploit the guests' weakness and take three points. However, Larissa's high draw rate at home (44%) justifies a significant probability of a points split.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larissa | Panserraikos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larissa is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Larissa · 0.6 pts / match - Panserraikos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larissa is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Larissa · 0.53 goals / match - Panserraikos
Larissa is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Larissa · 2.41 goals / match - Panserraikos
Larissa scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Panserraikos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 17 matches).
Panserraikos scores in 35% of matches (6 of 17 matches), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larissa
Over / Under - Panserraikos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larissa is 103% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Larissa · 0.35 pts / match - Panserraikos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larissa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Panserraikos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -8 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larissa
Panserraikos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Larissa | Liga | Panserraikos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.53 | 2.66 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 45% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 50% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Larissa 1 - 0 - 0 Panserraikos. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larissa vs Panserraikos?
The Super League match finished Larissa 1:0 Panserraikos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Larissa vs Panserraikos?
Larissa score 0.88 goals per game on average and Panserraikos 0.53. The Super League average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Larissa's matches and 35% of Panserraikos's.
What form are Larissa and Panserraikos in?
Over the last 5 games Larissa have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Panserraikos 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larissa vs Panserraikos?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.