Larissa vs PAOK: match statistics
PAOK is the clear favorite for this match, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Larissa sits in 12th position with only 4 victories. The visitors show a huge advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.11 goals per away game with a shot conversion rate of 16%, while the hosts score only 0.91 goals per home match. PAOK also dominates in terms of possession (61% vs 45%) and has a significantly better goal difference on the road (+9) compared to Larissa's negative home goal difference (-9). Furthermore, PAOK keeps 44% clean sheets away from home, indicating a solid defense, while Larissa concedes an average of 1.73 goals per home game. The form of both teams also favors the visitors – PAOK has won 56% of away matches, while Larissa has triumphed in only 18% of home games. All key statistical indicators clearly point to a PAOK victory.
Larissa vs PAOK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larissa played PAOK in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Larissa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. PAOK: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larissa scores 0.95 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. PAOK scores 2.05 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larissa 52%, PAOK 35%. Over 2.5: Larissa 38%, PAOK 60%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
PAOK has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.24. Larissa: 11.5 shots per match, PAOK: 14.8.
Match halves
Larissa: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.52. PAOK: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Larissa: 31-45+ (6 goals). PAOK: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PAOK is the clear favorite for this match, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Larissa sits in 12th position with only 4 victories. The visitors show a huge advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.11 goals per away game with a shot conversion rate of 16%, while the hosts score only 0.91 goals per home match. PAOK also dominates in terms of possession (61% vs 45%) and has a significantly better goal difference on the road (+9) compared to Larissa's negative home goal difference (-9). Furthermore, PAOK keeps 44% clean sheets away from home, indicating a solid defense, while Larissa concedes an average of 1.73 goals per home game. The form of both teams also favors the visitors – PAOK has won 56% of away matches, while Larissa has triumphed in only 18% of home games. All key statistical indicators clearly point to a PAOK victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larissa | PAOK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PAOK is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Larissa · 2.2 pts / match - PAOK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PAOK is 116% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Larissa · 2.05 goals / match - PAOK
PAOK is 142% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Larissa · 0.65 goals / match - PAOK
Larissa scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 60% (12 of 20 matches).
PAOK scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larissa
Over / Under - PAOK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PAOK is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Larissa · 1.85 pts / match - PAOK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larissa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
PAOK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larissa
PAOK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Larissa | Liga | PAOK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.52 | 2.61 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Larissa 0 - 0 - 1 PAOK. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larissa vs PAOK?
The Super League match finished Larissa 1:1 PAOK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Larissa vs PAOK?
Larissa score 0.95 goals per game on average and PAOK 2.05. The Super League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Larissa's matches and 35% of PAOK's.
What form are Larissa and PAOK in?
Over the last 5 games Larissa have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and PAOK 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larissa vs PAOK?
The statistical background for Larissa vs PAOK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.