Larne vs Bangor: match statistics
Larne displays decisive dominance as the host, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 75% wins and 83% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts have scored as many as 41 goals this season, conceding just 10, resulting in a +21 goal difference in home matches. Bangor, on the other hand, fares much worse on the road, where they lose half of their matches (50%), earning only 1.2 points per match and keeping just 10% clean sheets. The form of both teams also favors Larne – the hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Bangor has lost three of their last five games. The difference in offensive quality (1.92 vs 1.2 goals per match) and defense (0.17 vs 1.8 goals conceded) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts.
Larne vs Bangor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larne played Bangor in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Larne: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Bangor: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larne scores 1.71 and concedes 0.42 goals per match. Bangor scores 1.21 and concedes 1.54. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larne 29%, Bangor 54%. Over 2.5: Larne 38%, Bangor 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.23. Larne: 12.6 shots per match, Bangor: 8.9.
Match halves
Larne: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.04. Bangor: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Larne: 76-90+ (13 goals). Bangor: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne displays decisive dominance as the host, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 75% wins and 83% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts have scored as many as 41 goals this season, conceding just 10, resulting in a +21 goal difference in home matches. Bangor, on the other hand, fares much worse on the road, where they lose half of their matches (50%), earning only 1.2 points per match and keeping just 10% clean sheets. The form of both teams also favors Larne – the hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Bangor has lost three of their last five games. The difference in offensive quality (1.92 vs 1.2 goals per match) and defense (0.17 vs 1.8 goals conceded) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Bangor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Larne · 1.4 pts / match - Bangor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Larne · 1.21 goals / match - Bangor
Larne is 267% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.42 goals / match - Larne · 1.54 goals / match - Bangor
Larne scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Bangor keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
Bangor scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 63% (15 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larne
Over / Under - Bangor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Larne · 1.33 pts / match - Bangor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bangor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larne
Bangor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Bangor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.77 | • 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 49% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 28% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Larne 1 - 1 - 0 Bangor. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Bangor?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:1 Bangor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Bangor?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Larne won 1, Bangor won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Bangor?
Larne score 1.71 goals per game on average and Bangor 1.21. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Larne's matches and 54% of Bangor's.
What form are Larne and Bangor in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bangor 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Bangor?
The statistical background for Larne vs Bangor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.