Larne vs Cliftonville: match statistics
Larne are the clear favorites for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 22 wins this season. The hosts boast excellent home form with 65% wins at home and only 6% losses, confirmed by a run of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. Cliftonville have been considerably weaker on the road, winning only 31% of matches with 44% losses and a negative goal difference (-4). Larne also dominate in offensive aspects, scoring an average of 1.88 goals per home game while conceding only 0.59, whereas Cliftonville concede an average of 1.44 goals away. The advantage in possession (56% vs 53%), shot accuracy, and clean sheets in 59% of home games further support a confident home win. The recent form of both teams (Larne: 2.2 pts/game vs Cliftonville: 1.4 pts/game) confirms the clear advantage of the league leaders.
Larne vs Cliftonville: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larne played Cliftonville in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Larne: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Cliftonville: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larne scores 1.82 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Cliftonville scores 1.48 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larne 42%, Cliftonville 58%. Over 2.5: Larne 48%, Cliftonville 58%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.45. Larne: 12.6 shots per match, Cliftonville: 11.9.
Match halves
Larne: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.00. Cliftonville: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Larne: 76-90+ (18 goals). Cliftonville: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne are the clear favorites for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 22 wins this season. The hosts boast excellent home form with 65% wins at home and only 6% losses, confirmed by a run of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. Cliftonville have been considerably weaker on the road, winning only 31% of matches with 44% losses and a negative goal difference (-4). Larne also dominate in offensive aspects, scoring an average of 1.88 goals per home game while conceding only 0.59, whereas Cliftonville concede an average of 1.44 goals away. The advantage in possession (56% vs 53%), shot accuracy, and clean sheets in 59% of home games further support a confident home win. The recent form of both teams (Larne: 2.2 pts/game vs Cliftonville: 1.4 pts/game) confirms the clear advantage of the league leaders.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data supports BTTS: Larne have BTTS in 59% of matches, and Cliftonville 56%, which is above the league average of 50%. Both teams have relatively low clean sheet rates (Larne 29%, Cliftonville 25%) and a similar level of goals conceded per season (1.47 vs 1.44), which favors each side scoring. Offensive potential is also steady in quality metrics: xG for is 1.55 (Larne) and 1.36 (Cliftonville), and xG against 1.44 and 1.53, so goal-scoring opportunities should arise for both sides. A downside for BTTS is Cliftonville's form in the last 5 matches (BTTS only 20%) and Larne's improved defense (0.6 goals conceded/match), which increases the risk of a home clean sheet scenario. Despite this, given the seasonal consistency in scoring and conceding along with solid shot parameters (SOT 4.82 vs 4.13), the BTTS: Yes outcome remains slightly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal projection model indicates approximately 2.80 goals for the match (Larne 1.58, Cliftonville 1.22), supporting the scenario of at least 2 goals. Larne has a high scoring average (1.76 goals scored) while also conceding plenty of chances (1.47 goals conceded; xGA 1.44), and Cliftonville concedes an average of 1.44 goals (xGA 1.53). The seasonal data for Over 1.5 is very strong for both sides (Larne 82%, Cliftonville 69%), and additionally, both teams often both score and concede simultaneously (BTTS: 59% and 56%; conceded over 0.5: 71% and 75%). The higher lines are less certain because, despite the high league average (2.84), Larne has significantly improved its defense in the last 5 matches (0.6 goals conceded per game), limiting the risk of a very high score. Therefore, the strongest statistical signal is for Over 1.5 as the most probable and stable choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Larne's superiority after the break: they have clearly better second-half statistics (ppg_2hg 1.71 vs 1.13, wins_2hg 47% vs 25%, gd_2hg +5 vs -3). At the same time, first halves are often more balanced, as Cliftonville frequently draws at half-time (drawingAtHT 44%), and average goals at HT are low (AVGHT 1.29 and 1.19) with very low BTTS at HT (18% and 25%, and 0% in the last 5 matches for both teams). Overall, Larne is stronger this season (PPG 1.65 vs 1.19, win% 47% vs 31%) and generates higher quality in attack (xG_for 1.55 vs 1.36, more shots and shots on target). Cliftonville also has a high loss percentage (44%), reinforcing the scenario that if the score is level at the break, the hosts 'deliver' the victory after the sides change. Therefore, the most probable Half-Time/Full-Time outcome is a draw at half-time and a Larne win at full-time (X/1), with the 1/1 alternative should the hosts score before the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Cliftonville | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Larne · 1.4 pts / match - Cliftonville
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.82 goals / match - Larne · 1.48 goals / match - Cliftonville
Larne is 116% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Larne · 1.45 goals / match - Cliftonville
Larne scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Cliftonville keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
Cliftonville scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 52% (17 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larne
Over / Under - Cliftonville
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / match - Larne · 1.3 pts / match - Cliftonville
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cliftonville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larne
Cliftonville
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Cliftonville | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.84 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Larne 1 - 2 - 0 Cliftonville. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Cliftonville?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:0 Cliftonville. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Cliftonville?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Larne won 1, Cliftonville won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Cliftonville?
Larne score 1.82 goals per game on average and Cliftonville 1.48. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Larne's matches and 58% of Cliftonville's.
What form are Larne and Cliftonville in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cliftonville 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Cliftonville?
The statistical background for Larne vs Cliftonville — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.