Larne vs Glenavon: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Larne played Glenavon in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 21 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Larne: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Glenavon: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Larne scores 1.85 and concedes 0.38 goals per match. Glenavon scores 0.56 and concedes 2.13. League average: 2.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Larne 15%, Glenavon 38%. Over 2.5: Larne 23%, Glenavon 44%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Larne has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.07. Larne: 12.6 shots per match, Glenavon: 8.1.

Match halves

Larne: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 1.08. Glenavon: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.31.

Goals by minute

Larne: 46-60 (7 goals). Glenavon: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

62Possession (%)38
LarneGlenavon
23Shots9
LarneGlenavon
7Shots on target3
LarneGlenavon
2.4xG1.01
LarneGlenavon
9Corners4
LarneGlenavon
64Dangerous attacks31
LarneGlenavon
15Fouls9
LarneGlenavon
5Cards2
LarneGlenavon

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.85Goals scored / match0.56
LarneGlenavon
0.38Goals conceded / match2.13
LarneGlenavon
55%Average possession45%
LarneGlenavon
4.46Shots on target / match2.69
LarneGlenavon

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.62Shots per match8.13
LarneGlenavon
4.46Shots on target2.69
LarneGlenavon
14.6%Shot conversion6.9%
LarneGlenavon
55%Possession45%
LarneGlenavon
1.57xG for1.07
LarneGlenavon
0.87xG against1.8
LarneGlenavon

Shooting quality

Larne: Efficient finishingGlenavon: Balanced
LarneGlenavon
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Larne · 1.2 pts / match - Glenavon

Larne
LWDWW
Season result split
69% W15% R15% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-2-2
2.23 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 0.72BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Glenavon
WLLWL
Season result split
13% W0% R88% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-14
0.38 pts / match · goal difference -25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-9
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 230% better for: goals scored per match.

1.85 goals / match - Larne · 0.56 goals / match - Glenavon

Larne is 461% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.38 goals / match - Larne · 2.13 goals / match - Glenavon

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Glenavon keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).

Glenavon scoring profile: more difficult

Glenavon scores in 44% of matches (7 of 16 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 69% (9 of 13 matches).

24Goals scored (season)9
LarneGlenavon
5Goals conceded (season)34
LarneGlenavon
2.23Average goals in match2.69
LarneGlenavon
8Goals scored (last 5)6
LarneGlenavon
3Goals conceded (last 5)11
LarneGlenavon

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal44%
LarneGlenavon
62%2 goals6%
LarneGlenavon
23%3 goals6%
LarneGlenavon
15%4 goals0%
LarneGlenavon

How often they concede at least...

31%1 goal94%
LarneGlenavon
8%2 goals69%
LarneGlenavon
0%3 goals31%
LarneGlenavon
0%4 goals13%
LarneGlenavon

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
LarneGlenavon
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LarneGlenavon
31%Scored in both halves6%
LarneGlenavon

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
LarneGlenavon
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
LarneGlenavon
20%BTTS - last 560%
LarneGlenavon

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time94%
LarneGlenavon
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
LarneGlenavon
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LarneGlenavon

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
LarneGlenavon
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
LarneGlenavon
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
LarneGlenavon

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne is 205% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.92 pts / match - Larne · 0.63 pts / match - Glenavon

Larne - half-time state
54% leading31% draw15% trailing
Glenavon - half-time state
19% leading6% draw75% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.92Points per match (1st half)0.63
LarneGlenavon
0.77Goals scored (1st half)0.25
LarneGlenavon
0.23Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
LarneGlenavon
1Average goals (1st half)1.13
LarneGlenavon
85%Clean sheet before half-time25%
LarneGlenavon
46%No goal before half-time81%
LarneGlenavon

After half-time (2nd half)

2.08Points per match (2nd half)0.38
LarneGlenavon
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.31
LarneGlenavon
0.15Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
LarneGlenavon
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.56
LarneGlenavon
85%Clean sheet after half-time25%
LarneGlenavon
38%No goal after half-time69%
LarneGlenavon

Larne - second-half results

62% W23% R15% P
25
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Glenavon - second-half results

0% W38% R63% P
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding68%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Glenavon - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Larne
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
7
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Glenavon
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
9
31-45
0
3
46-60
4
6
61-75
1
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
27%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
31%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Glenavon

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.73
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LarneLigaGlenavon
Average goals in match 2.232.69 2.69
Both teams scored 15%44% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 23%49% 44%
Clean sheets 69%29% 6%
Goal before half-time 69%77% 94%
Goal after half-time 77%78% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.69
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LarneSubstitutionOn: James SimpsonOff: Sean Graham
  2. GlenavonGoalLuke Cartwright
  3. LarneYellow cardJames Simpson
  4. LarneGoalPaul O'NeillAssist: Mark Randall
  5. LarneSubstitutionOn: Logan WallaceOff: Conor McKendry
  6. LarneYellow cardMark Randall

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Larne 1 - 0 - 0 Glenavon. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Larne FC
1 : 0
Glenavon FC

FAQ

What was the result of Larne vs Glenavon?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:1 Glenavon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Glenavon?

Larne score 1.85 goals per game on average and Glenavon 0.56. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 15% of Larne's matches and 38% of Glenavon's.

What form are Larne and Glenavon in?

Over the last 5 games Larne have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Glenavon 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Glenavon?

The statistical background for Larne vs Glenavon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.