Larne vs Glentoran: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Larne played Glentoran in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 12 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Larne: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Glentoran: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Larne scores 1.76 and concedes 0.47 goals per match. Glentoran scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Larne 29%, Glentoran 56%. Over 2.5: Larne 35%, Glentoran 38%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Larne has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.49. Larne: 13.3 shots per match, Glentoran: 11.4.

Match halves

Larne: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.00. Glentoran: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Larne: 46-60 (8 goals). Glentoran: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
LarneGlentoran
4Shots16
LarneGlentoran
2Shots on target2
LarneGlentoran
0.73xG1.6
LarneGlentoran
1Corners4
LarneGlentoran
45Dangerous attacks63
LarneGlentoran
12Fouls11
LarneGlentoran
0Cards0
LarneGlentoran

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.76Goals scored / match1.5
LarneGlentoran
0.47Goals conceded / match1
LarneGlentoran
54%Average possession54%
LarneGlentoran
4.71Shots on target / match4.19
LarneGlentoran

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.29Shots per match11.44
LarneGlentoran
4.71Shots on target4.19
LarneGlentoran
13.3%Shot conversion13.1%
LarneGlentoran
54%Possession54%
LarneGlentoran
1.65xG for1.49
LarneGlentoran
0.94xG against1.04
LarneGlentoran

Shooting quality

Larne: Efficient finishingGlentoran: Efficient finishing
LarneGlentoran
Accuracy (shots on target)35%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 160% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Larne · 1 pts / match - Glentoran

Larne
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
71% W18% D12% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-3-2
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Glentoran
WLLDD
Season result split
56% W25% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-3
1.94 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 0.84BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.76 goals / match - Larne · 1.5 goals / match - Glentoran

Larne is 113% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.47 goals / match - Larne · 1 goals / match - Glentoran

Larne scoring profile: strong

Larne scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Glentoran keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

Glentoran scoring profile: strong

Glentoran scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 59% (10 of 17 matches).

30Goals scored (season)24
LarneGlentoran
8Goals conceded (season)16
LarneGlentoran
2.24Average goals in match2.5
LarneGlentoran
9Goals scored (last 5)6
LarneGlentoran
3Goals conceded (last 5)8
LarneGlentoran

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal94%
LarneGlentoran
65%2 goals50%
LarneGlentoran
18%3 goals6%
LarneGlentoran
12%4 goals0%
LarneGlentoran

How often they concede at least...

41%1 goal63%
LarneGlentoran
6%2 goals25%
LarneGlentoran
0%3 goals13%
LarneGlentoran
0%4 goals0%
LarneGlentoran

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time6%
LarneGlentoran
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LarneGlentoran
29%Scored in both halves25%
LarneGlentoran

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
LarneGlentoran
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LarneGlentoran
60%BTTS - last 580%
LarneGlentoran

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
LarneGlentoran
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
LarneGlentoran
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LarneGlentoran

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
LarneGlentoran
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
LarneGlentoran
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
LarneGlentoran

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Glentoran is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.76 pts / match - Larne · 1.94 pts / match - Glentoran

Larne - half-time state
47% leading35% draw18% trailing
Glentoran - half-time state
56% leading25% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.76Points per match (1st half)1.94
LarneGlentoran
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.75
LarneGlentoran
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
LarneGlentoran
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.13
LarneGlentoran
76%Clean sheet before half-time75%
LarneGlentoran
47%No goal before half-time38%
LarneGlentoran

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1.44
LarneGlentoran
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
LarneGlentoran
0.18Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
LarneGlentoran
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.38
LarneGlentoran
82%Clean sheet after half-time56%
LarneGlentoran
41%No goal after half-time44%
LarneGlentoran

Larne - second-half results

59% W24% D18% L
30
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding151%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Glentoran - second-half results

31% W50% D19% L
31
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Glentoran - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Larne
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
6
2
31-45
8
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Glentoran
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
6
4
31-45
1
2
46-60
4
6
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.36
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
36%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Glentoran

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.94
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LarneLigaGlentoran
Average goals in match 2.242.71 2.50
Both teams scored 29%49% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%52% 38%
Clean sheets 59%27% 38%
Goal before half-time 71%77% 81%
Goal after half-time 76%78% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LarneSubstitutionOn: Matthew LustyOff: Conor McKendry
  2. GlentoranSubstitutionOn: Jordan JenkinsOff: Liam Burt
  3. GlentoranSubstitutionOn: Daniel LarmourOff: Marcus Kane
  4. LarneSubstitutionOn: Kobei MooreOff: Jordan McEneff

FAQ

What was the result of Larne vs Glentoran?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 1:0 Glentoran. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Glentoran?

Larne score 1.76 goals per game on average and Glentoran 1.50. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Larne's matches and 56% of Glentoran's.

What form are Larne and Glentoran in?

Over the last 5 games Larne have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Glentoran 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Glentoran?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.