Larne vs Linfield: match statistics
Larne, as the table leader, presents impressive home form with 67% of matches won at home and only 7% losses. The hosts score an average of 1.93 goals in home matches while conceding only 0.53, resulting in a +21 goal difference. Linfield, despite good recent form (4 wins in 5 matches), performs significantly worse away – just 36% wins and as many as 36% matches without scoring a goal. Larne's advantage in possession (58% vs 54%), shooting efficiency, and xG balance (1.81 vs 1.53) speaks for the hosts. Considering Larne's defensive solidity at home (67% clean sheets) and Linfield's issues with efficiency away, I expect a victory for the hosts, although Linfield as the third team in the league may put up resistance, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
Larne vs Linfield: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larne played Linfield in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 24 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Larne: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Linfield: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larne scores 1.79 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. Linfield scores 1.79 and concedes 0.62. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larne 41%, Linfield 34%. Over 2.5: Larne 48%, Linfield 48%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.60. Larne: 13.3 shots per match, Linfield: 12.2.
Match halves
Larne: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.03. Linfield: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Larne: 76-90+ (17 goals). Linfield: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne, as the table leader, presents impressive home form with 67% of matches won at home and only 7% losses. The hosts score an average of 1.93 goals in home matches while conceding only 0.53, resulting in a +21 goal difference. Linfield, despite good recent form (4 wins in 5 matches), performs significantly worse away – just 36% wins and as many as 36% matches without scoring a goal. Larne's advantage in possession (58% vs 54%), shooting efficiency, and xG balance (1.81 vs 1.53) speaks for the hosts. Considering Larne's defensive solidity at home (67% clean sheets) and Linfield's issues with efficiency away, I expect a victory for the hosts, although Linfield as the third team in the league may put up resistance, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Linfield is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Larne · 3 pts / match - Linfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Linfield is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.69 goals / match - Larne · 0.62 goals / match - Linfield
Larne scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 matches).
Linfield scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larne
Over / Under - Linfield
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Linfield is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / match - Larne · 1.79 pts / match - Linfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Linfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +10 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larne
Linfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 26% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 77% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Larne 0 - 2 - 0 Linfield. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Linfield?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 1:1 Linfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Linfield?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Larne won 0, Linfield won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Linfield?
Larne score 1.79 goals per game on average and Linfield 1.79. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Larne's matches and 34% of Linfield's.
What form are Larne and Linfield in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Linfield 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Linfield?
The statistical background for Larne vs Linfield — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.