Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay: match statistics
Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Las Vegas Lights played Monterey Bay in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Las Vegas Lights: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match. Monterey Bay: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Las Vegas Lights scores 1.67 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Monterey Bay scores 0.33 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Las Vegas Lights 100%, Monterey Bay 33%. Over 2.5: Las Vegas Lights 67%, Monterey Bay 33%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Monterey Bay has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.18. Las Vegas Lights: 8.3 shots per match, Monterey Bay: 11.3.
Match halves
Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33. Monterey Bay: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Las Vegas Lights: 61-75 (2 goals). Monterey Bay: 76-90+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both sides are at the bottom with nearly identical records (0–1–2), reflecting shared defensive weaknesses and low efficiency. Las Vegas have a better season and last-five scoring (5 vs 1 season, 6 vs 2 in last 5), giving home offensive advantage. Monterey Bay generate more shots and higher away xG (around 12 shots and xG 1.4) but poor conversion and high goals conceded limit them. Both teams conceded 9 goals in last 5 and form is unstable, so expect few goals and an even game. I give a slight edge to the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS signal: Monterey Bay 100% season BTTS; Las Vegas L5 BTTS 80%. xG averages (home 1.24, away 1.4) and high conceded rates (seasonConcededAVG_home 2.0, L5 ~1.8) indicate both create and allow chances. Las Vegas’ season shot efficiency is poor but they still produce chances; Monterey Bay converts reasonably (8%). League BTTS ~56% supports Goal/Goal. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive stats model indicates high scoring probability: home xG 1.24 and away 1.40 with average xG_against (1.39 home, 1.62 away) produce expected 1.43 home and 1.40 away (total ~2.83). League avg 2.74 supports Over1.5 and Over2.5 scenarios. Last-5 stats show high shot counts and goals on both sides and clear defensive issues (ga_l5: 9 each), boosting scoring chances. Higher away xG and conversion tilt the signal toward Over 1.5 as the strongest bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data point to a draw at Half-Time and an away win by Full-Time. Las Vegas Lights register a seasonal average of 0.0 goals and zero shot conversion with significant defensive losses, while Monterey Bay have higher xG and better efficiency. Both teams often draw at Half-Time (high drawingAtHT), and the second half yields a substantial share of goals (high over05_2hg_percentage), favoring a turnaround. Recent form indicates lack of host strength and relative visitor stability, so the most reliable signal is HT draw / FT away win (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Las Vegas Lights | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 18% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.63 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 406% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights · 0.33 goals / match - Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.67 goals / match - Monterey Bay
Las Vegas Lights scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Monterey Bay scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
Over / Under - Monterey Bay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Monterey Bay - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Las Vegas Lights
Monterey Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Las Vegas Lights | Liga | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Las Vegas Lights 1 - 2 - 1 Monterey Bay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay?
The USL Championship match finished Las Vegas Lights 1:0 Monterey Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Las Vegas Lights and Monterey Bay?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Las Vegas Lights won 1, Monterey Bay won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay?
Las Vegas Lights score 1.67 goals per game on average and Monterey Bay 0.33. The USL Championship average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Las Vegas Lights's matches and 33% of Monterey Bay's.
What form are Las Vegas Lights and Monterey Bay in?
Over the last 5 games Las Vegas Lights have a 0-1-2 record (0.33 points per game) and Monterey Bay 0-1-2 (0.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.