Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC: match statistics
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Las Vegas Lights play Orange County SC in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 21 June 2026 at 04:30. Venue: Cashman Field. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Las Vegas Lights: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Orange County SC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Las Vegas Lights scores 1.53 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Orange County SC scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Las Vegas Lights 80%, Orange County SC 63%. Over 2.5: Las Vegas Lights 67%, Orange County SC 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Las Vegas Lights has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.20. Las Vegas Lights: 10.7 shots per match, Orange County SC: 10.5.
Match halves
Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.87. Orange County SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (6 goals). Orange County SC: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-2-1. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 60%.
Match description
I back the home win ('1'), primarily due to their impressive home defense: Las Vegas concedes only 0.4 goals per match on average and has 60% clean sheets and 0% losses at home, while Orange County concedes 1.17 goals on the road on average and has only 33% clean sheets. Offensive strength is similar — Las Vegas scores 1.2 goals at home with xG 1.2, and Orange scores 1.33 goals away with xG 1.19 — the visitors have slightly higher shot conversion (13% vs 11%). The hosts control the game more often (51% possession vs 41% for Orange) and take a comparable number of shots (10.6 vs 10.5, with 3.6 vs 3.33 on target), which gives them an advantage in the quality of chances. In the last 5 matches Las Vegas averages 1.4 points (goal difference 4–4), and Orange 1.0 point (goal difference 8–9), indicating greater defensive instability for the visitors. Based on this I assess probabilities at 60% for the home side, 25% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Las Vegas Lights | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Orange County SC is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.8 pts / match - Orange County SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orange County SC is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.13 goals / match - Orange County SC
Las Vegas Lights scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Orange County SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Las Vegas Lights
Over / Under — Orange County SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Orange County SC is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.38 pts / match - Orange County SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Orange County SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Las Vegas Lights
Orange County SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Las Vegas Lights | Liga | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.27 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Las Vegas Lights 2 - 2 - 1 Orange County SC. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
The USL Championship match finished Las Vegas Lights 2:3 Orange County SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Las Vegas Lights and Orange County SC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Las Vegas Lights won 2, Orange County SC won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
Las Vegas Lights score 1.53 goals per game on average and Orange County SC 1.56. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Las Vegas Lights's matches and 63% of Orange County SC's.
What form are Las Vegas Lights and Orange County SC in?
Over the last 5 games Las Vegas Lights have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Orange County SC 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.