Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic: match statistics
Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Las Vegas Lights play Sacramento Republic in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 04:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Las Vegas Lights: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sacramento Republic: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Las Vegas Lights scores 1.53 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Sacramento Republic scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Las Vegas Lights 80%, Sacramento Republic 57%. Over 2.5: Las Vegas Lights 67%, Sacramento Republic 29%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Sacramento Republic has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.32. Las Vegas Lights: 10.7 shots per match, Sacramento Republic: 10.7.
Match halves
Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.87. Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (6 goals). Sacramento Republic: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-1-2. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 20%.
Match description
Las Vegas Lights generate significantly more chances at home: on average 16 shots and 7 shots on target per match with an average xG of 1.8, translating to 1.0 goals per game and 0% of home matches without scoring. Sacramento Republic away have poor efficiency – on average 7 shots and only 2 on target, average xG 0.81 and an average of 0.0 goals away with 100% of away matches without a goal. In the last 5 matches the visitors show better results (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 10 goals scored and an average of 2 points per match), whereas Las Vegas in their last 5 have a 1-1-3 record with 8 scored and 10 conceded and an average of 0.8 points per match. Defensively Sacramento have conceded only 3 goals this season versus Las Vegas’s 10 conceded, however the hosts’ key advantage is quality of chances in the box (16 vs 7 shots and xG 1.8 vs 0.81), which should tilt the balance in their favor. Therefore I predict a home win, although a draw remains possible given the visitors’ better recent form.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Las Vegas Lights | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.14 goals / match - Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1 goals / match - Sacramento Republic
Las Vegas Lights scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Sacramento Republic scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Las Vegas Lights
Over / Under — Sacramento Republic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Las Vegas Lights is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights · 0.93 pts / match - Sacramento Republic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Las Vegas Lights
Sacramento Republic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Las Vegas Lights | Liga | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.27 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 58% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Las Vegas Lights 2 - 1 - 2 Sacramento Republic. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic?
The USL Championship match finished Las Vegas Lights 1:1 Sacramento Republic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Las Vegas Lights and Sacramento Republic?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Las Vegas Lights won 2, Sacramento Republic won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic?
Las Vegas Lights score 1.53 goals per game on average and Sacramento Republic 1.14. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Las Vegas Lights's matches and 57% of Sacramento Republic's.
What form are Las Vegas Lights and Sacramento Republic in?
Over the last 5 games Las Vegas Lights have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sacramento Republic 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.