LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien: match statistics
LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
LASK Linz played Rapid Wien in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 4 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
LASK Linz: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Rapid Wien: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
LASK Linz scores 1.66 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Rapid Wien scores 1.21 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: LASK Linz 59%, Rapid Wien 55%. Over 2.5: LASK Linz 55%, Rapid Wien 38%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
LASK Linz has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.37. LASK Linz: 15.9 shots per match, Rapid Wien: 12.1.
Match halves
LASK Linz: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.90. Rapid Wien: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
LASK Linz: 76-90+ (13 goals). Rapid Wien: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The hosts hold a clear advantage: they sit 3rd in the table, have scored 48 goals this season and 14 in the last 5 matches, whereas Rapid are 6th with 35 goals this season and just 4 in their last 5. LASK at home averages 1.64 goals scored and concedes 1.21 per game with xG of 1.87, while Rapid away score 1.14 and concede 1.14 with xG 1.44, indicating a home advantage in the quality of created chances. The hosts average 17.79 shots and 5.07 on target per home match versus Rapid’s 12.71 shots and 4.43 on target away, and clean sheet rates are 43% for LASK against 21% for Rapid. Form also favors LASK: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins and 2 draws and 14 goals scored, whereas Rapid have 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses and only 4 goals, translating to 2.2 points per game for the hosts versus 1.0 points for the visitors over the last five fixtures. On this basis I predict a home win, although Rapid’s relatively high average possession (56%) and their slightly lower average goals conceded (1.14) keep a draw a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The “Both Teams To Score” outcome is more likely based on the available data: Rapid has a seasonal BTTS rate of 64%, the league records 56% such matches, and LASK has had BTTS in all of their last 5 fixtures (100%). LASK scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches (2.8 per match) and has a recent xG of 2.14, indicating strong offensive potency; Rapid, despite only 4 goals in their last 5 (0.8 avg), produces a seasonal xG of 1.44 and averages 4.43 shots on target per match, so they are capable of creating chances. Both teams concede at a similar rate: LASK 1.20 and Rapid 1.14 on average this season, while clean sheets occur in 33% and 21% of matches respectively, which reduces the likelihood of a goalless affair. Additionally, xG against for both sides (LASK 1.22, Rapid 1.32) and the league average of 2.68 goals per match support a goals-exchange scenario. Considering these figures, I assess the probability of BTTS at about 70% (Yes) versus 30% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on combined xG predicts 1.31 expected goals for LASK Linz and 1.33 for Rapid Wien, totaling 2.64 goals. Season data show LASK matches finished over 1.5 goals in 73% of games and Rapid in 86%, and additionally LASK has averaged 2.14 xG and scored 14 goals in the last 5 matches, which strengthens the signal for Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line the model indicates about a 49% chance for Over and 51% for Under; season over25 rates are 40% for LASK and 36% for Rapid, so this market is balanced. The chance for Over 3.5 is low (≈27%), corroborated by season over35: 20% and 7% for home and away respectively; Under 3.5 appears safer. Consequently I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, based on the 2.64-goal projection and high seasonal Over 1.5 rates.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data analysis indicates a draw at Half-Time and a LASK win at Full-Time. In the last five matches LASK averages 2.8 goals per game and 2.0 goals after the break, while Rapid averages only 0.8 goals per game and 0.8 after the break, favoring the home side in the second half. Both teams rarely score by Half-Time — the season rate for both teams scoring before the break is only 13–14% — and Rapid have not scored by Half-Time in their last five matches (0.0 on average), so an HT draw (most likely 0-0) is realistic. Additionally, 80% of LASK’s matches in the last five featured over 1.5 goals in the second half, and the hosts average 2.0 goals after the break, increasing the chance of a turnaround in their favor. Although Rapid’s xG is slightly higher (1.44 vs 1.30), LASK have better shot conversion (11% vs 9%) and superior recent form in the last five matches (2.2 points on average vs 1.0), therefore I select HT/FT X/1 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| LASK Linz | Rapid Wien | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
LASK Linz is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - LASK Linz · 1 pts / match - Rapid Wien
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
LASK Linz is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.66 goals / match - LASK Linz · 1.21 goals / match - Rapid Wien
Rapid Wien is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - LASK Linz · 1.17 goals / match - Rapid Wien
LASK Linz scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Rapid Wien keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
Rapid Wien scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while LASK Linz keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - LASK Linz
Over / Under - Rapid Wien
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
LASK Linz is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - LASK Linz · 1.1 pts / match - Rapid Wien
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
LASK Linz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rapid Wien - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
LASK Linz
Rapid Wien
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| LASK Linz | Liga | Rapid Wien | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.03 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 50% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): LASK Linz 2 - 0 - 1 Rapid Wien. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien?
The Bundesliga match finished LASK Linz 3:1 Rapid Wien. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between LASK Linz and Rapid Wien?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches LASK Linz won 2, Rapid Wien won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien?
LASK Linz score 1.66 goals per game on average and Rapid Wien 1.21. The Bundesliga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 59% of LASK Linz's matches and 55% of Rapid Wien's.
What form are LASK Linz and Rapid Wien in?
Over the last 5 games LASK Linz have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Rapid Wien 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.