Laval vs Red Star: match statistics

Laval sit 14th and have collected just 4 points from their last five matches, losing 3 games and conceding as many as 12 goals. Red Star are ninth and, although their form is hardly outstanding, they have lost only 2 of their last 5 matches and remain unbeaten away from home, recording one win and one draw. The hosts create slightly more, averaging 12 shots, 4.5 shots on target and an xG of 1.45 at home, compared with Red Star’s 10 shots and xG of 1.13 away. At the same time, Laval concede an average of 2 goals per home game and have failed to keep a clean sheet, while the visitors allow just 0.5 goals per away match and have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games. Laval’s possession advantage, at 55% compared with 48%, should give them opportunities, but Red Star’s more solid defence and 50% away draws point towards a share of the spoils.

The signal for both sides to score is strengthened by their recent form: BTTS occurred in 80% of Laval’s five matches and in 60% of Red Star’s games. During this period, Laval conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match, while Red Star conceded 1.6, creating favorable conditions for both teams to find the net. The hosts generated 1.83 xG and recorded 5 shots on target per match, while the Red Star defense allowed opponents 1.64 xG. Red Star have scored in every match of the season, while Laval’s weak defense has already conceded 8 goals in 4 games. However, this is not a particularly strong pick, as both teams kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season; nevertheless, the current figures provide clearer support for BTTS - Yes.

Laval’s last five matches produced an average of 3.6 goals, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding as many as 2.4 goals per game. Over the same period, Red Star averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded, while its average attacking xG stood at 1.45 compared with Laval’s 1.67 xG allowed. The hosts also create plenty of chances, averaging 16 shots and 5 on target, although their 3% conversion rate limits confidence in a high-scoring game. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, as Laval’s defense clearly lowers the threshold Red Star need to reach, while both teams had 50% of their league matches finish with at least two goals despite the very small sample size.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time and a Red Star win at full-time, as Laval were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for Red Star. The hosts have not won any of their matches at home so far, averaging just 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Red Star remain unbeaten away from home, averaging 2.0 points per match. In the first halves, Laval conceded an average of 1.0 goal, whereas Red Star have not conceded a single goal before the break, limiting the hosts’ chances of taking the lead. After half-time, Laval conceded an average of 1.6 goals in their last five matches, while Red Star averaged 0.8 points gained in second halves, giving the visitors solid grounds to turn an evenly matched start in their favour.