Lazio vs Atalanta: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Lazio showcases solid home form with 42% wins and only 25% losses at their own stadium; however, their last five overall matches (1.2 points per match) point to a dip in form. Atalanta is in better shape with three victories in their last five games and only two goals conceded, highlighting defensive stability. A key factor is Atalanta's high percentage of draws away from home (45%), which, combined with Lazio's tendency to share points (33% draws at home), argues for a points split. The difference in xG and similar ball possession indicators (50% vs 53%) further confirm the balanced nature of this encounter.
Lazio vs Atalanta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lazio played Atalanta in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Lazio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atalanta: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lazio scores 1.08 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Atalanta scores 1.33 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lazio 25%, Atalanta 50%. Over 2.5: Lazio 29%, Atalanta 33%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Atalanta has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.23. Lazio: 11.0 shots per match, Atalanta: 14.8.
Match halves
Lazio: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63. Atalanta: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Lazio: 76-90+ (9 goals). Atalanta: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Lazio showcases solid home form with 42% wins and only 25% losses at their own stadium; however, their last five overall matches (1.2 points per match) point to a dip in form. Atalanta is in better shape with three victories in their last five games and only two goals conceded, highlighting defensive stability. A key factor is Atalanta's high percentage of draws away from home (45%), which, combined with Lazio's tendency to share points (33% draws at home), argues for a points split. The difference in xG and similar ball possession indicators (50% vs 53%) further confirm the balanced nature of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lazio | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atalanta is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Lazio · 2.2 pts / match - Atalanta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atalanta is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Lazio · 1.33 goals / match - Atalanta
Atalanta is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.96 goals / match - Lazio · 0.88 goals / match - Atalanta
Lazio scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Atalanta scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Lazio keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lazio
Over / Under - Atalanta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atalanta is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Lazio · 1.63 pts / match - Atalanta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lazio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atalanta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lazio
Atalanta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Lazio | Liga | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.04 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 32% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lazio 0 - 1 - 0 Atalanta. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lazio vs Atalanta?
The Serie A match finished Lazio 0:2 Atalanta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lazio vs Atalanta?
Lazio score 1.08 goals per game on average and Atalanta 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Lazio's matches and 50% of Atalanta's.
What form are Lazio and Atalanta in?
Over the last 5 games Lazio have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atalanta 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lazio vs Atalanta?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lazio vs Atalanta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.