Le Havre vs Angers SCO: match statistics

Angers SCO are showing clearly better current form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 9 goals in total, while Le Havre have managed just 4 goals and suffered 3 defeats. The hosts have lost both of their home matches so far, averaging 0.5 goals per game, and failed to score in 50% of those fixtures. Angers won their only away match, scoring 3 goals and averaging 6 shots on target, compared with 4 for Le Havre. Although the hosts record a slightly higher average xG of 1.74 versus 1.47 for their opponents, their conversion rate is just 3%, while the visitors convert 20% of their shots. Le Havre’s defence allows opponents an xG of 1.93 and concedes an average of 1.5 goals at home, which, combined with Angers’ effective attack, gives the visitors the edge.

Angers has a very strong BTTS signal: both teams scored in 100% of its league matches, while this figure stood at 80% across the last five games. Le Havre has averaged only 0.8 goals per game in its last five outings, but the opponent has failed to keep a clean sheet at any point this season and has conceded an average of 1.6 goals during this run. The hosts are also creating chances worth an average of 1.33 xG, while their own defense allows opponents 1.55 xG per match, which supports the expectation of an Angers goal. The visitors are offensively efficient, averaging 1.8 goals in their last five matches and registering 6.0 shots on target per game. Le Havre's weaker recent consistency, with BTTS landing in only 40% of its last five matches, limits confidence, but the overall balance of evidence still points to both teams scoring.

The match odds point towards at least two goals: the league average is 3.11 goals, and both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal threshold in all of their matches so far this season. Angers have averaged 1.8 goals over their last 5 matches, while Le Havre have conceded 1.0 goal per game during this period, with an against-xG of 1.55. The hosts have scored fewer goals—0.8 per game in their last 5 appearances—but create chances worth an average of 1.33 xG, while the Angers defense allows opponents 1.62 xG. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match, as have Le Havre, further increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.95 goals provides a clear margin above this line, while Over 2.5 remains more dependent on Le Havre’s finishing efficiency.

Angers have a clearly superior recent record: they have won 60% of their last five matches, while Le Havre have suffered defeats in 60% of theirs. The visitors average 1.8 goals per match compared with the hosts’ 0.8, while Le Havre have scored just 0.2 goals per game before half-time in their recent run. A draw at the break is a realistic possibility, as Angers were level after 45 minutes in 25% of their recent matches, while the hosts recorded the same outcome in 40% of cases. After the interval, Angers’ advantage increases: they average 1.0 goal, concede none, and have not lost the second half in any of their last five appearances. Therefore, the most likely scenario is a level score at half-time, followed by an away victory in the latter stages of the match.