Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille: match statistics
Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Le Havre play Olympique Marseille in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Le Havre: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Olympique Marseille: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Le Havre scores 0.94 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Olympique Marseille scores 1.85 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Le Havre 50%, Olympique Marseille 50%. Over 2.5: Le Havre 32%, Olympique Marseille 62%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Olympique Marseille has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.26. Le Havre: 10.9 shots per match, Olympique Marseille: 15.1.
Match halves
Le Havre: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.53. Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Le Havre: 61-75 (7 goals). Olympique Marseille: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The favorites appear to be the visitors — Olympique Marseille — primarily due to superior offensive efficiency this season: 59 goals scored versus 30 for Le Havre and a higher average xG away of 1.64 versus the hosts’ 1.37 xG at home. The visitors generate more high-quality chances (on average 14.75 shots and 5.25 on target away vs 12.13 and 4.0 for the hosts) and record higher possession (56% vs 47%), giving them an advantage in chance creation. However, Le Havre has been difficult to break down recently — 5 draws in their last 5 matches (0 wins, 5 draws) and at home they concede only 1.06 goals per game on average, while Marseille concede 1.56 on the road. Additionally the visitors are in poorer form (last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses; goal difference 5-9) and have a higher “failed to score” rate away of 44%, which increases the likelihood of a draw. Considering the xG edge (1.64 vs 1.37) and the greater volume of chances, I forecast a narrow away win, but a draw remains realistic.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Le Havre | Olympique Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olympique Marseille is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Le Havre · 1.4 pts / match - Olympique Marseille
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille is 97% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Le Havre · 1.85 goals / match - Olympique Marseille
Le Havre scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Olympique Marseille scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Le Havre keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Le Havre
Over / Under — Olympique Marseille
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olympique Marseille is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Le Havre · 1.59 pts / match - Olympique Marseille
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Le Havre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Le Havre
Olympique Marseille
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Le Havre | Liga | Olympique Marseille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Le Havre 0 - 0 - 1 Olympique Marseille. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille?
The Ligue 1 match finished Le Havre 0:1 Olympique Marseille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille?
Le Havre score 0.94 goals per game on average and Olympique Marseille 1.85. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Le Havre's matches and 50% of Olympique Marseille's.
What form are Le Havre and Olympique Marseille in?
Over the last 5 games Le Havre have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Olympique Marseille 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.