Le Mans vs Guingamp: match statistics
Le Mans presents solid home form with 50% wins and an impressive 67% clean sheets at their own stadium, indicating a very strong defense. The hosts concede an average of just 0.5 goals per match at home, while Guingamp concedes an average of 1.55 goals in away matches. The difference in goal difference is significant - Le Mans has +4 in home games, while Guingamp has a zero balance on the road. Although Guingamp has a better shot conversion (14% vs 7%) and slightly higher possession (52% vs 51%), their weaker away defense (only 27% clean sheets) and higher xG Against (1.34 vs 1.06 for Le Mans) constitute a significant weakness. Given the hosts' defensive advantage and home statistics, Le Mans has better chances of victory, though Guingamp may put up resistance, justifying a relatively high probability of a draw.
Le Mans vs Guingamp: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Le Mans played Guingamp in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 23 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Le Mans: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Guingamp: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Le Mans scores 1.26 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Guingamp scores 1.48 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Le Mans 52%, Guingamp 52%. Over 2.5: Le Mans 35%, Guingamp 70%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Guingamp has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.26. Le Mans: 10.7 shots per match, Guingamp: 11.9.
Match halves
Le Mans: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. Guingamp: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Le Mans: 76-90+ (9 goals). Guingamp: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Le Mans presents solid home form with 50% wins and an impressive 67% clean sheets at their own stadium, indicating a very strong defense. The hosts concede an average of just 0.5 goals per match at home, while Guingamp concedes an average of 1.55 goals in away matches. The difference in goal difference is significant - Le Mans has +4 in home games, while Guingamp has a zero balance on the road. Although Guingamp has a better shot conversion (14% vs 7%) and slightly higher possession (52% vs 51%), their weaker away defense (only 27% clean sheets) and higher xG Against (1.34 vs 1.06 for Le Mans) constitute a significant weakness. Given the hosts' defensive advantage and home statistics, Le Mans has better chances of victory, though Guingamp may put up resistance, justifying a relatively high probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Le Mans | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Le Mans is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Le Mans · 1.4 pts / match - Guingamp
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guingamp is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Le Mans · 1.48 goals / match - Guingamp
Le Mans is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Le Mans · 1.52 goals / match - Guingamp
Le Mans scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Guingamp keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Guingamp scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Le Mans keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Le Mans
Over / Under - Guingamp
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Le Mans is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Le Mans · 1.35 pts / match - Guingamp
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Le Mans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guingamp - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Le Mans
Guingamp
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Le Mans | Liga | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 2.47 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 51% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 47% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Le Mans 0 - 1 - 0 Guingamp. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Le Mans vs Guingamp?
The Ligue 2 match finished Le Mans 1:1 Guingamp. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Le Mans vs Guingamp?
Le Mans score 1.26 goals per game on average and Guingamp 1.48. The Ligue 2 average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Le Mans's matches and 52% of Guingamp's.
What form are Le Mans and Guingamp in?
Over the last 5 games Le Mans have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Guingamp 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Le Mans vs Guingamp?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Le Mans vs Guingamp: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.