Le Mans vs Toulouse: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Le Mans vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Le Mans play Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Stade de La Pincenardière.
Current form
Le Mans: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Toulouse: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Le Mans scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Toulouse scores 1.50 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Le Mans 100%, Toulouse 67%. Over 2.5: Le Mans 83%, Toulouse 67%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Toulouse has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.21. Le Mans: 10.5 shots per match, Toulouse: 13.7.
Match halves
Le Mans: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Toulouse: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Le Mans: 46-60 (4 goals). Toulouse: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Le Mans | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Toulouse is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Le Mans · 1.2 pts / match - Toulouse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Le Mans is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Le Mans · 1.5 goals / match - Toulouse
Toulouse is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Le Mans · 1.83 goals / match - Toulouse
Le Mans scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Toulouse scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Le Mans keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Le Mans
Over / Under - Toulouse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Le Mans is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Le Mans · 0.67 pts / match - Toulouse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Le Mans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Toulouse - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Le Mans
Toulouse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Le Mans | Liga | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Le Mans and Toulouse play?
Le Mans face Toulouse on 16 October 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade de La Pincenardière. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Le Mans vs Toulouse?
Le Mans score 1.67 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.50. The Ligue 1 average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Le Mans's matches and 67% of Toulouse's.
What form are Le Mans and Toulouse in?
Over the last 5 games Le Mans have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Toulouse 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Le Mans vs Toulouse?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.