Leça vs AD Marco 09: match statistics
Leça vs AD Marco 09: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leça played AD Marco 09 in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Estádio do Leça Futebol Clube. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Leça: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. AD Marco 09: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leça scores 1.40 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. AD Marco 09 scores 1.20 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leça 60%, AD Marco 09 40%. Over 2.5: Leça 60%, AD Marco 09 40%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Leça has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.11. Leça: 12.4 shots per match, AD Marco 09: 8.6.
Match halves
Leça: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40. AD Marco 09: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Leça: 0-15 (3 goals). AD Marco 09: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AD Marco 09 sit 2nd in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while sixth-placed Leça have recorded 3 wins over the same period. The strongest argument in favour of the visitors is their defence: according to the data, they have not conceded in their last 5 matches, whereas Leça have conceded 7 goals during that time. The hosts can still pose a threat, averaging 1.79 xG and 6.5 shots on target per match at home, compared with the visitors’ 1.01 xG and 3 shots on target away from home. So far, however, this edge in chance quality has not translated into results: Leça average just 0.5 goals at home and have failed to win either of their two home matches. AD Marco 09 are also still without an away win, so a draw remains a realistic outcome, but their recent run and stronger defence give the visitors a slight edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication against both teams scoring is AD Marco 09’s defense: they have conceded no goals in their last 5 matches, and BTTS did not occur in any of them. Leça average 1.67 goals at home, so they could end that run, but their average xG of 1.17 does not point to an overwhelming advantage in chance creation. Meanwhile, the visitors average just 0.5 goals away from home and have failed to score in 50% of their matches, while Leça have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home games. Although the visitors’ xG of 1.01 gives them a chance of scoring, their shot conversion rate is only 7%, compared with 18% for the hosts. Therefore, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score than that both teams will find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: none of the matches played by either team so far have featured 4 goals. AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 matches and average just 0.5 goals per game over the season, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. Leça average 1.67 goals, but their xG is 1.17, suggesting their scoring efficiency so far may be difficult to sustain. Caution is warranted, as 3 of Leça’s last 5 matches have gone Over 2.5 goals; however, with a projected total of 2.10 goals, the 3.5 line offers more margin than 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: Leça were level at the break in 2 of their 3 home matches, while AD Marco 09 did so in 1 of their 2 away games. The visitors have yet to score in the first half away from home, but they have not conceded before half-time in their last 5 matches, limiting the chances of the hosts taking an early lead. After the break, Leça’s home scoring record could give them the edge: they average 1.33 goals in the second half at home and have won all 3 of their home matches so far. However, X/1 is not a strong pick, as AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches and won 4 of them; a goalless draw therefore remains a significant possibility.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leça | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AD Marco 09 is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Leça · 2 pts / match - AD Marco 09
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leça is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Leça · 1.2 goals / match - AD Marco 09
AD Marco 09 is 167% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Leça · 0.6 goals / match - AD Marco 09
Leça scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while AD Marco 09 keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
AD Marco 09 scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Leça keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leça
Over / Under - AD Marco 09
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leça is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Leça · 1.2 pts / match - AD Marco 09
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leça - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AD Marco 09 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leça
AD Marco 09
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Leça | Liga | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.41 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 32% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- AD Marco 09Yellow cardJoão Pedro Almeida Machado
FAQ
What was the result of Leça vs AD Marco 09?
The Liga 3 match finished Leça 2:0 AD Marco 09. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leça vs AD Marco 09?
Leça score 1.40 goals per game on average and AD Marco 09 1.20. The Liga 3 average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Leça's matches and 40% of AD Marco 09's.
What form are Leça and AD Marco 09 in?
Over the last 5 games Leça have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AD Marco 09 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leça vs AD Marco 09?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.