Leça vs Varzim: match statistics
Leça vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leça played Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Estádio do Leça Futebol Clube. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Leça: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Varzim: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leça scores 1.29 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Varzim scores 1.57 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leça 43%, Varzim 71%. Over 2.5: Leça 43%, Varzim 71%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Leça has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.29. Leça: 10.1 shots per match, Varzim: 8.9.
Match halves
Leça: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43. Varzim: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Leça: 0-15 (3 goals). Varzim: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leça have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 2 in that period, while Varzim have lost all 5 games, conceding 11 goals. This disparity in current form points to the hosts, although their home record — one win, one draw and one defeat — does not justify making them overwhelming favourites. Varzim remain dangerous away from home: they have won 2 of 3 such matches and average 2 goals per game, compared with Leça’s 1 goal at home. The quality of chances is similar, with the visitors’ away xG at 1.63 and the hosts’ home xG at 1.51, but Varzim concede chances worth an average of 1.60 xG away from home, compared with Leça’s 1.04 at home. A more solid defence and a clearly stronger recent run tip the forecast in Leça’s favour, despite the visitors’ attacking potential.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
This season, both teams have often been involved in matches with goals at both ends: 75% of Leça’s games and 67% of Varzim’s ended BTTS. Varzim average 2.0 goals per match and 6.33 shots on target, while Leça concede an average of 2.0 goals, pointing to an away-team goal. The hosts also have attacking credentials: they score an average of 1.25 goals, and Varzim have conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game over their last 5 matches. Leça’s improved defensive form warrants some caution, as they have conceded just 0.4 goals per game in their last 5 outings. However, the overall statistical picture favours BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to at least two goals: this occurred in 75% of Leça’s matches and 67% of Varzim’s. Varzim averaged 2.0 goals scored per game this season, while Leça conceded 2.0, although recent form paints a different picture: the hosts scored 9 goals and conceded just 2 in their last five matches, while the visitors scored 5 and conceded 11. The attacking potential of both sides is supported by their xG figures: Leça average 1.03 and Varzim 1.63. An estimated total of 2.90 goals gives Over 1.5 a clearer edge than Over 2.5, especially given the contrast in the teams’ recent results: Over 2.5 goals landed in 20% of Leça’s five matches and 80% of Varzim’s.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is recent form: Leça have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Varzim have lost all 5. The hosts led at the break in 4 of those 5 matches, whereas the visitors were trailing at half-time in 3 of 5, which points to Leça taking the lead after 45 minutes. Leça have not conceded after the break in their last 5 matches, while Varzim have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game over that span, making Leça to hold their lead the most likely outcome. Caution is still warranted, however, as Varzim have won 67% of their matches in the home-and-away split, compared with Leça’s 25% home win rate. Despite this discrepancy, the hosts’ markedly stronger recent results across both halves point primarily to a 1/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leça | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 51% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leça is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Leça · 0.6 pts / match - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varzim is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Leça · 1.57 goals / match - Varzim
Leça is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Leça · 1.57 goals / match - Varzim
Leça scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Varzim scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Leça keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leça
Over / Under - Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varzim is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Leça · 2.14 pts / match - Varzim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leça - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 43%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leça
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Leça | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.57 | 2.63 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 30% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Leça vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished Leça 2:0 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leça vs Varzim?
Leça score 1.29 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.57. The Liga 3 average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Leça's matches and 71% of Varzim's.
What form are Leça and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games Leça have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Varzim 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leça vs Varzim?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leça vs Varzim: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.