Lecce vs Bologna: match statistics
Lecce vs Bologna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lecce played Bologna in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Lecce: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Bologna: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lecce scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Bologna scores 0.60 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lecce 20%, Bologna 40%. Over 2.5: Lecce 60%, Bologna 20%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Bologna has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.00. Lecce: 8.4 shots per match, Bologna: 13.4.
Match halves
Lecce: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Bologna: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Lecce: 0-15 (2 goals). Bologna: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lecce have won 2 of their last 5 matches, while Bologna have failed to win during this period, picking up just 2 points. At home, the hosts score an average of 1.5 goals, whereas the visitors have yet to score in either of their two away matches, despite averaging 1.08 xG. Lecce also have the edge in finishing: they convert 21% of their shots at home, compared with Bologna's 0% away conversion rate. The hosts' defence is a potential concern, conceding an average of 3 goals at home against opponents' xG of 2.21, although Bologna concede only 1 goal per away match on average. However, the visitors' poor finishing outweighs concerns about Lecce's defence, making a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - No is Bologna’s away record: an average of 0.0 goals and no goals scored in 100% of those matches, despite an xG of 1.08. Lecce have recorded BTTS in 67% of their home matches, but that figure is difficult to apply to an opponent that has averaged just 0.6 goals over its last five games. The hosts have conceded an average of 2.0 goals recently, so Bologna cannot be ruled out from scoring, especially as their xG over that period stands at 1.32. On the other hand, Lecce average 1.0 goals at home with an xG of 1.48, while Bologna concede an average of 1.0 goals away, giving the hosts a genuine chance to score. Despite that possibility, Bologna’s poor away scoring record makes it more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: all of Bologna’s away matches so far have finished below this line, as have 67% of Lecce’s home games. Bologna have yet to score away from home and have averaged 0.6 goals across their last five matches, limiting expectations for their attack. Lecce average 15.33 shots and an xG of 1.48 at home, so they can create chances, but have scored an average of just 1.0 goal per game so far. Caution is warranted, as Lecce have conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last five matches; however, the projected total of 2.20 goals still points clearly to Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears the most likely outcome: Bologna were level at the break in both of their away matches so far and failed to score in either, although this is a small sample. Lecce, however, have greater attacking potential, with an average xG of 1.48 compared with the visitors’ 1.08, and 15.33 shots compared with 10.5. After the break, the hosts score an average of 0.67 goals, while Bologna concede an average of 1.0 in this period and have yet to score away from home after half-time. Lecce’s recent form over their last five matches also supports a late win: they won two, while Bologna won none. A draw at the break remains plausible given the visitors’ cautious starts, but Lecce’s attacking edge gives the X/1 scenario a slight advantage over a draw at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lecce | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lecce is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Lecce · 0.4 pts / match - Bologna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lecce is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Lecce · 0.6 goals / match - Bologna
Bologna is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Lecce · 1.2 goals / match - Bologna
Lecce scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Bologna keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Bologna scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lecce
Over / Under - Bologna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bologna is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - Lecce · 1.2 pts / match - Bologna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bologna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lecce
Bologna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Lecce | Liga | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.85 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 56% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lecce 0 - 1 - 1 Bologna. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lecce vs Bologna?
The Serie A match finished Lecce 1:2 Bologna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Bologna?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lecce won 0, Bologna won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lecce vs Bologna?
Lecce score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bologna 0.60. The Serie A average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Lecce's matches and 40% of Bologna's.
What form are Lecce and Bologna in?
Over the last 5 games Lecce have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bologna 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecce vs Bologna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lecce vs Bologna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.