Lecce vs Cremonese: match statistics
The match between Lecce and Cremonese shapes up as an even clash between two teams in poor form. At home, Lecce wins only 21% of matches and fails to score in 57% of their games, making them ineffective hosts. Cremonese away performs equally poorly with a 57% loss rate and just one goal in their last five matches, indicating major offensive issues. Both teams have similar possession stats (45%), low shot accuracy, and high xG Against figures, suggesting defensive issues on both sides. Considering the poor form of both teams (Lecce 1.2 PPG, Cremonese 0.2 PPG in their last 5 matches) and similar statistics, a draw seems the most likely outcome for this meeting of two relegation-battling sides. The slight home advantage for Lecce stems solely from the home factor, yet their current form offers no guarantee of victory.
Lecce vs Cremonese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lecce played Cremonese in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Lecce: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Cremonese: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lecce scores 0.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Cremonese scores 0.78 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lecce 33%, Cremonese 41%. Over 2.5: Lecce 33%, Cremonese 37%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Lecce has higher xG: 1.08 vs 1.04. Lecce: 9.8 shots per match, Cremonese: 9.1.
Match halves
Lecce: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.30. Cremonese: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Lecce: 0-15 (5 goals). Cremonese: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match between Lecce and Cremonese shapes up as an even clash between two teams in poor form. At home, Lecce wins only 21% of matches and fails to score in 57% of their games, making them ineffective hosts. Cremonese away performs equally poorly with a 57% loss rate and just one goal in their last five matches, indicating major offensive issues. Both teams have similar possession stats (45%), low shot accuracy, and high xG Against figures, suggesting defensive issues on both sides. Considering the poor form of both teams (Lecce 1.2 PPG, Cremonese 0.2 PPG in their last 5 matches) and similar statistics, a draw seems the most likely outcome for this meeting of two relegation-battling sides. The slight home advantage for Lecce stems solely from the home factor, yet their current form offers no guarantee of victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lecce | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lecce is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Lecce · 0.2 pts / match - Cremonese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cremonese is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Lecce · 0.78 goals / match - Cremonese
Lecce is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Lecce · 1.41 goals / match - Cremonese
Lecce scores in 48% of matches (13 of 27 matches), while Cremonese keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
Cremonese scores in 48% of matches (13 of 27 matches), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lecce
Over / Under - Cremonese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecce is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Lecce · 1 pts / match - Cremonese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cremonese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lecce
Cremonese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Lecce | Liga | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 47% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 32% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lecce 0 - 0 - 1 Cremonese. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lecce vs Cremonese?
The Serie A match finished Lecce 2:1 Cremonese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lecce vs Cremonese?
Lecce score 0.67 goals per game on average and Cremonese 0.78. The Serie A average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Lecce's matches and 41% of Cremonese's.
What form are Lecce and Cremonese in?
Over the last 5 games Lecce have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Cremonese 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecce vs Cremonese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lecce vs Cremonese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.