Italy - Serie AData current as of 23 July 2026

Lecce vs Fiorentina: match statistics

Lecce crest
Lecce
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Fiorentina crest
Fiorentina

Lecce vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lecce play Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 20 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Lecce: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Fiorentina: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lecce scores 0.74 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Fiorentina scores 1.08 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lecce 37%, Fiorentina 58%. Over 2.5: Lecce 37%, Fiorentina 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Fiorentina has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.09. Lecce: 9.8 shots per match, Fiorentina: 12.9.

Match halves

Lecce: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.32. Fiorentina: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Lecce: 0-15 (8 goals). Fiorentina: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Fiorentina holds a clear attacking advantage: 37 goals scored this season versus Lecce’s 21, with the visitors netting 5 goals in the last 5 matches compared to the hosts’ 3; this is reflected in form — Fiorentina averages 2.0 points per game in the last five, Lecce 0.6. Visitors are more efficient in front of goal: away conversion rate 10% with 10.75 shots per game (≈1.06 goals), while Lecce posts 6% on 10.69 shots and ~0.69 goals per match. Looking at xG, values are similar (Lecce 1.16 xG at home vs Fiorentina 1.12 xG away), but Lecce significantly underperforms that potential — 0.69 goals vs 1.16 xG (diff -0.47), whereas Fiorentina has 1.06 goals vs 1.12 xG (diff -0.06). Defensively both teams are vulnerable, but recent trends favor the visitors: Lecce concedes 1.38 goals at home on average and 9 goals in the last 5, Fiorentina concedes 1.5 away and 5 in the last 5; additionally Lecce fail to score in 56% of home matches versus 38% for Fiorentina away. Considering superior efficiency, higher possession (51% vs 45%) and a markedly better points return in the last 5 matches, I forecast a Fiorentina win and assess probabilities as: 60% for the visitors, 25% draw, 15% home.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
LecceFiorentina
14Shots5
LecceFiorentina
4Shots on target3
LecceFiorentina
1.64xG0.69
LecceFiorentina
5Corners2
LecceFiorentina
65Dangerous attacks21
LecceFiorentina
8Fouls13
LecceFiorentina
2Cards4
LecceFiorentina

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.74Goals scored / match1.08
LecceFiorentina
1.32Goals conceded / match1.32
LecceFiorentina
42%Average possession51%
LecceFiorentina
2.55Shots on target / match3.45
LecceFiorentina

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.82Shots per match12.87
LecceFiorentina
2.55Shots on target3.45
LecceFiorentina
7.5%Shot conversion8.4%
LecceFiorentina
42%Possession51%
LecceFiorentina
1.09xG for1.34
LecceFiorentina
1.45xG against1.49
LecceFiorentina

Shooting quality

Lecce: BalancedFiorentina: Balanced
LecceFiorentina
Accuracy (shots on target)26%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lecce is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Lecce · 1.2 pts / match - Fiorentina

Lecce
DWLWW
Season result split
26% W21% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-20
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-5-9
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Fiorentina
DLDWD
Season result split
24% W39% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-15-14
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-6-8
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fiorentina is 46% better for: goals scored per match.

0.74 goals / match - Lecce · 1.08 goals / match - Fiorentina

Lecce scoring profile: mixed

Lecce scores in 50% of matches (19 of 38 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

Fiorentina scoring profile: very strong

Fiorentina scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

28Goals scored (season)41
LecceFiorentina
50Goals conceded (season)50
LecceFiorentina
2.05Average goals in match2.39
LecceFiorentina
6Goals scored (last 5)3
LecceFiorentina
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
LecceFiorentina

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal71%
LecceFiorentina
21%2 goals24%
LecceFiorentina
3%3 goals5%
LecceFiorentina
0%4 goals5%
LecceFiorentina

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal74%
LecceFiorentina
42%2 goals42%
LecceFiorentina
13%3 goals13%
LecceFiorentina
3%4 goals3%
LecceFiorentina

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time8%
LecceFiorentina
5%BTTS in both halves3%
LecceFiorentina
8%Scored in both halves13%
LecceFiorentina

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
LecceFiorentina
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
LecceFiorentina
40%BTTS - last 520%
LecceFiorentina

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
LecceFiorentina
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
LecceFiorentina
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
LecceFiorentina

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
LecceFiorentina
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
LecceFiorentina
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
LecceFiorentina

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lecce - half-time state
24% leading47% draw29% trailing
Fiorentina - half-time state
26% leading37% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.16
LecceFiorentina
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.45
LecceFiorentina
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
LecceFiorentina
0.89Average goals (1st half)0.97
LecceFiorentina
61%Clean sheet before half-time61%
LecceFiorentina
66%No goal before half-time66%
LecceFiorentina

After half-time (2nd half)

0.82Points per match (2nd half)1.18
LecceFiorentina
0.32Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
LecceFiorentina
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
LecceFiorentina
1.16Average goals (2nd half)1.42
LecceFiorentina
39%Clean sheet after half-time37%
LecceFiorentina
76%No goal after half-time50%
LecceFiorentina

Lecce - second-half results

16% W34% R50% P
45
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fiorentina - second-half results

24% W47% R29% P
44
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding92%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lecce - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Fiorentina - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lecce
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
5
10
16-30
3
6
31-45
2
9
46-60
4
14
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Fiorentina
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
7
6
16-30
6
6
31-45
10
10
46-60
7
8
61-75
7
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lecce

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+10.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Fiorentina

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

LecceLigaFiorentina
Average goals in match 2.052.43 2.39
Both teams scored 37%45% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 37%46% 50%
Clean sheets 26%32% 26%
Goal before half-time 61%66% 66%
Goal after half-time 71%77% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Lecce 1 - 0 - 0 Fiorentina. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

ACF Fiorentina
0 : 1
US Lecce

FAQ

What was the result of Lecce vs Fiorentina?

The Serie A match finished Lecce 1:1 Fiorentina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lecce vs Fiorentina?

Lecce score 0.74 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.08. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Lecce's matches and 58% of Fiorentina's.

What form are Lecce and Fiorentina in?

Over the last 5 games Lecce have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fiorentina 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecce vs Fiorentina?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lecce vs Fiorentina: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.