Lecce vs Juventus: match statistics
Lecce vs Juventus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lecce played Juventus in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Lecce: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Juventus: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lecce scores 0.69 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Juventus scores 1.66 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lecce 37%, Juventus 46%. Over 2.5: Lecce 37%, Juventus 40%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Juventus has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.09. Lecce: 9.9 shots per match, Juventus: 16.6.
Match halves
Lecce: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.31. Juventus: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Lecce: 0-15 (6 goals). Juventus: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Juventus is the clear favorite: they sit 4th versus Lecce’s 17th and have scored 58 goals this season compared to the hosts’ 24; visitors average 1.35 goals away while Lecce score 0.71 at home. Lecce concede 1.35 goals on average in home matches (xG against 1.30), while Juventus concede only 0.94 on the road (xG against 1.22); in the last 5 fixtures the visitors conceded just 1 goal, Lecce 7. In chance creation and finishing Juve are superior: 5.12 shots on target and 13.65 shots per game with a 10% conversion, versus Lecce’s 2.76 on target and 10.88 shots with 6% conversion, translating into higher xG 1.62 vs 1.19. Form is another argument — Juventus in the last 5 matches has 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 points per game), Lecce only 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (1.0 point per game); additionally Lecce failed to score in 53% of home fixtures, while Juve were goalless in only 24% of away matches. Considering the advantage in goals (58–24), xG (1.62–1.19) and superior defense (0.94–1.35), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor 'No' due to Juventus' defensive form: in the last five matches the visitors conceded a total of 1 goal (0.2 avg) and only 20% of those games had BTTS. Although Lecce's home season averages are 1.94 goals scored and season xG 2.18 with 6.72 on-target shots on average, in the last 5 matches they scored only 3 goals (0.6 avg) and had xG 1.15, indicating an offensive dip. Season BTTS rates are 50% for Lecce and 41% for Juventus, with the league BTTS level at 45%, but recent trends (40% Lecce and 20% Juve in the last 5) shift probability toward No Goal. Additionally, Lecce conceded 7 goals in the last 5 (1.4 avg), while Juventus scored 6 and conceded only 1, suggesting a clean sheet expected for one side. Considering the above numbers, I assess BTTS probability at 35% 'Yes' and 65% 'No', selecting 'No' as the strongest signal from the data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I pick Over 1.5 as the best option: I estimate expected goals of 1.70 for Lecce and 1.30 for Juventus (total 3.00), which provides a clear cushion above 1.5 goals. Lecce score 1.94 goals at home on average and have xG_for 2.18, with Lecce matches going Over 1.5 in 89% of cases; Juventus away average is 1.35 goals with xG 1.62 and Over 1.5 in 59% of matches, so seasonal indicators favor a combined goal total. However, recent form over the last 5 matches must be considered: Lecce average just 0.6 goals (3 goals in 5), while Juventus average 1.2 and have conceded a total of 1 goal (0.2 per match), which lowers confidence for Over 2.5. Therefore I assign Over 2.5 a moderate probability of 60% (seasonal Over 2.5: 44% for Lecce vs 35% for Juve) and Over 3.5 a low 25% (28% vs 18%), and as an offensive recommendation I choose Over 1.5 due to Lecce's high xG (2.18) and the home side's shot advantage 19.39 versus Juve's 13.65.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonally, Lecce led at the break in 44% of home matches and scored 22 first-half goals with an xG of 2.18 at home, while Juventus has 14 HT goals and an away xG of 1.62, indicating Lecce’s superiority in chance creation (xG 2.18 vs 1.62 and on average 6.72 vs 5.12 shots on target). However, in the last five fixtures the dynamic has reversed: Lecce led at the break in 0% of their last five, whereas Juventus led at the break in 40% of their last five away matches and have a 60% win rate over that period. After the break, Juventus have conceded 0.0 goals on average in their last five away matches, while Lecce score on average 1.17 goals after half-time at home, so if Juve take a lead at the break they have a high probability of holding it. Considering Juventus’s form advantage (last five: 60% wins vs Lecce’s 20%) and their ability to preserve leads, the most probable scenario is 2/2 (25%), while a strong alternative is Half-Time draw / Full-Time Juventus X/2 (20%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lecce | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Juventus is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Lecce · 2.2 pts / match - Juventus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Juventus is 141% better for: goals scored per match.
0.69 goals / match - Lecce · 1.66 goals / match - Juventus
Juventus is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Lecce · 0.86 goals / match - Juventus
Lecce scores in 49% of matches (17 of 35 matches), while Juventus keeps a clean sheet in 43% (15 of 35 matches).
Juventus scores in 80% of matches (28 of 35 matches), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lecce
Over / Under - Juventus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juventus is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Lecce · 1.49 pts / match - Juventus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Juventus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lecce
Juventus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Lecce | Liga | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.03 | 2.41 | • 2.51 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 45% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 32% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lecce 0 - 1 - 0 Juventus. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lecce vs Juventus?
The Serie A match finished Lecce 0:1 Juventus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lecce vs Juventus?
Lecce score 0.69 goals per game on average and Juventus 1.66. The Serie A average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Lecce's matches and 46% of Juventus's.
What form are Lecce and Juventus in?
Over the last 5 games Lecce have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Juventus 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecce vs Juventus?
The statistical background for Lecce vs Juventus — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.