Lecce vs Parma: match statistics
This match promises to be tightly contested, justifying a draw prediction. As hosts, Lecce display poor form with only a 20% win rate at home and failing to score in 60% of matches, rendering their offense highly ineffective (0.6 goals per match). Parma performs slightly better away, with a 25% win rate and better recent form (1.4 points per match compared to Lecce's 0.8). Both teams have similar xG metrics (1.2 vs 1.23) and shot conversion rates (6%), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Parma's away defense is more solid (38% clean sheets, 1.0 goal conceded per match) than Lecce's home defense (1.3 goals conceded). Given the low efficiency of both teams and their table positions (16th and 15th), a low-scoring game or a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
Lecce vs Parma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lecce played Parma in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Lecce: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Parma: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lecce scores 0.67 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Parma scores 0.67 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lecce 33%, Parma 39%. Over 2.5: Lecce 33%, Parma 28%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Parma has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.11. Lecce: 9.8 shots per match, Parma: 11.3.
Match halves
Lecce: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.28. Parma: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Lecce: 16-30 (3 goals). Parma: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This match promises to be tightly contested, justifying a draw prediction. As hosts, Lecce display poor form with only a 20% win rate at home and failing to score in 60% of matches, rendering their offense highly ineffective (0.6 goals per match). Parma performs slightly better away, with a 25% win rate and better recent form (1.4 points per match compared to Lecce's 0.8). Both teams have similar xG metrics (1.2 vs 1.23) and shot conversion rates (6%), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Parma's away defense is more solid (38% clean sheets, 1.0 goal conceded per match) than Lecce's home defense (1.3 goals conceded). Given the low efficiency of both teams and their table positions (16th and 15th), a low-scoring game or a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lecce | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Parma is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Lecce · 1.4 pts / match - Parma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Parma is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Lecce · 1.17 goals / match - Parma
Lecce scores in 50% of matches (9 of 18 matches), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Parma scores in 50% of matches (9 of 18 matches), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lecce
Over / Under - Parma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecce is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Lecce · 1.06 pts / match - Parma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Parma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lecce
Parma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Lecce | Liga | Parma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.35 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 47% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 43% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lecce 1 - 0 - 0 Parma. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lecce vs Parma?
The Serie A match finished Lecce 1:2 Parma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lecce vs Parma?
Lecce score 0.67 goals per game on average and Parma 0.67. The Serie A average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Lecce's matches and 39% of Parma's.
What form are Lecce and Parma in?
Over the last 5 games Lecce have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Parma 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecce vs Parma?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lecce vs Parma: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.