Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Rigamonti CeppiData current as of 21 October 2026

Lecco vs Folgore Caratese: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Lecco vs Folgore Caratese: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lecco play Folgore Caratese in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.

Current form

Lecco: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Folgore Caratese: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lecco scores 1.20 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Folgore Caratese scores 0.90 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.40 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lecco 30%, Folgore Caratese 60%. Over 2.5: Lecco 40%, Folgore Caratese 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Lecco has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.49. Lecco: 13.5 shots per match, Folgore Caratese: 11.9.

Match halves

Lecco: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Folgore Caratese: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Lecco: 46-60 (4 goals). Folgore Caratese: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.65)
(3.50)
(4.62)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

LeccoFolgore Caratese
1.2Goals scored / match0.9
LeccoFolgore Caratese
0.9Goals conceded / match1.5
LeccoFolgore Caratese
55%Average possession48%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
5.9Shots on target / match3.9
LeccoFolgore Caratese

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.5Shots per match11.9
LeccoFolgore Caratese
5.9Shots on target3.9
LeccoFolgore Caratese
8.9%Shot conversion7.6%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
55%Possession48%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
1.62xG for1.49
LeccoFolgore Caratese
1.45xG against1.55
LeccoFolgore Caratese

Shooting quality

Lecco: BalancedFolgore Caratese: Balanced
LeccoFolgore Caratese
Accuracy (shots on target)44%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lecco is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Lecco · 0.8 pts / match - Folgore Caratese

Lecco
DLDDW
Season result split
30% W40% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-3
1.30 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-4-0
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Folgore Caratese
DWLLL
Season result split
10% W30% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-6
0.60 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lecco is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.2 goals / match - Lecco · 0.9 goals / match - Folgore Caratese

Lecco is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.9 goals / match - Lecco · 1.5 goals / match - Folgore Caratese

Lecco scoring profile: strong

Lecco scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Folgore Caratese keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

Folgore Caratese scoring profile: mixed

Folgore Caratese scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

12Goals scored (season)9
LeccoFolgore Caratese
9Goals conceded (season)15
LeccoFolgore Caratese
2.1Average goals in match2.4
LeccoFolgore Caratese
8Goals scored (last 5)4
LeccoFolgore Caratese
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
LeccoFolgore Caratese

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal60%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
30%2 goals30%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
20%3 goals0%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
10%4 goals0%
LeccoFolgore Caratese

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal90%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
20%2 goals50%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
10%3 goals10%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
0%4 goals0%
LeccoFolgore Caratese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time20%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
30%Scored in both halves10%
LeccoFolgore Caratese

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
40%BTTS - last 560%
LeccoFolgore Caratese

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
LeccoFolgore Caratese

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
LeccoFolgore Caratese

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lecco is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.7 pts / match - Lecco · 1.3 pts / match - Folgore Caratese

Lecco - half-time state
40% leading50% draw10% trailing
Folgore Caratese - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.7Points per match (1st half)1.3
LeccoFolgore Caratese
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.5
LeccoFolgore Caratese
0.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
LeccoFolgore Caratese
0.7Average goals (1st half)1
LeccoFolgore Caratese
90%Clean sheet before half-time50%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
60%No goal before half-time60%
LeccoFolgore Caratese

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.4
LeccoFolgore Caratese
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
LeccoFolgore Caratese
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1
LeccoFolgore Caratese
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.4
LeccoFolgore Caratese
50%Clean sheet after half-time30%
LeccoFolgore Caratese
60%No goal after half-time70%
LeccoFolgore Caratese

Lecco - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
17
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Folgore Caratese - second-half results

0% W40% D60% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding33%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lecco - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Folgore Caratese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.20
Goals scored / match0.80.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lecco
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
4
0
46-60
0
4
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Folgore Caratese
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lecco

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Folgore Caratese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

LeccoLigaFolgore Caratese
Average goals in match▼ 2.102.40• 2.40
Both teams scored▼ 30%52%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%50%• 50%
Clean sheets▲ 40%32%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%64%▲ 70%
Goal after half-time▼ 70%74%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.40
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Lecco and Folgore Caratese play?

Lecco face Folgore Caratese on 25 October 2026 in Serie C Group A at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?

Lecco score 1.20 goals per game on average and Folgore Caratese 0.90. The Serie C Group A average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Lecco's matches and 60% of Folgore Caratese's.

What form are Lecco and Folgore Caratese in?

Over the last 5 games Lecco have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Folgore Caratese 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lecco vs Folgore Caratese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.