Lecco vs Renate: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which speaks for a draw. Lecco presents solid home form with 53% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of +8, however, recent form (1 victory in 5 matches) raises concerns. Renate arrives in excellent disposition, earning 6 points in the last 3 matches, with excellent offensive efficiency (11 goals in 5 meetings) and just 4 conceded goals. The xG statistics are close for both teams (1.38 vs 1.36), confirming the balance of power. Renate has a high percentage of draws away (33%), and both teams score an average of 1.27 goals in their matches, suggesting a possible split of points. Considering the hosts' weaker recent form and the confidence of the visitors, a draw seems the most probable result.
Lecco vs Renate: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lecco played Renate in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Lecco: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Renate: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lecco scores 1.21 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Renate scores 1.28 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lecco 38%, Renate 52%. Over 2.5: Lecco 28%, Renate 41%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Renate has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.29. Lecco: 9.9 shots per match, Renate: 11.2.
Match halves
Lecco: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.41. Renate: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Lecco: 16-30 (10 goals). Renate: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which speaks for a draw. Lecco presents solid home form with 53% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of +8, however, recent form (1 victory in 5 matches) raises concerns. Renate arrives in excellent disposition, earning 6 points in the last 3 matches, with excellent offensive efficiency (11 goals in 5 meetings) and just 4 conceded goals. The xG statistics are close for both teams (1.38 vs 1.36), confirming the balance of power. Renate has a high percentage of draws away (33%), and both teams score an average of 1.27 goals in their matches, suggesting a possible split of points. Considering the hosts' weaker recent form and the confidence of the visitors, a draw seems the most probable result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lecco | Renate | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Renate is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Lecco · 2 pts / match - Renate
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Renate is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Lecco · 1.28 goals / match - Renate
Lecco is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Lecco · 0.9 goals / match - Renate
Lecco scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Renate keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
Renate scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lecco
Over / Under - Renate
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Renate is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / match - Lecco · 1.9 pts / match - Renate
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Renate - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 45%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lecco
Renate
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Lecco | Liga | Renate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.27 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 41% | • 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 30% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 65% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lecco 1 - 0 - 0 Renate. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lecco vs Renate?
The Serie C Group A match finished Lecco 0:3 Renate. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lecco vs Renate?
Lecco score 1.21 goals per game on average and Renate 1.28. The Serie C Group A average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Lecco's matches and 52% of Renate's.
What form are Lecco and Renate in?
Over the last 5 games Lecco have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Renate 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecco vs Renate?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lecco vs Renate: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.