Lech Poznań vs Arka Gdynia: match statistics
Lech Poznań vs Arka Gdynia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lech Poznań play Arka Gdynia in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 8 May 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Lech Poznań: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Arka Gdynia: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lech Poznań scores 1.82 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Arka Gdynia scores 1.00 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lech Poznań 68%, Arka Gdynia 50%. Over 2.5: Lech Poznań 68%, Arka Gdynia 62%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lech Poznań has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.27. Lech Poznań: 17.4 shots per match, Arka Gdynia: 10.6.
Match halves
Lech Poznań: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.82. Arka Gdynia: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Lech Poznań: 31-45+ (16 goals). Arka Gdynia: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a Lech Poznań (1) victory. Lech averages 2.4 goals per home match (56 this season) and has scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches with an average xG of 2.09; at home they record 0% of matches without a goal, indicating consistent attacking efficiency. Arka average only 0.6 goals on the road (31 this season), 60% of away matches end without scoring and they have a low conversion rate of 6%, so despite averaging 10.13 shots they rarely convert them into goals. Defensively Arka concedes 2.4 goals away and has conceded 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 avg), while Lech concedes 1.73 at home and only 4 goals in the last 5 (0.8 avg), giving the hosts a clear advantage. Additionally Lech creates more chances (avg 19.27 shots and 6.73 on target per match vs 10.13 and 2.93 for Arka), has higher xG (2.09 vs 1.2) and better points form over the last 5 (2.2 points vs 0.8), therefore I assess probabilities at 78% for Lech, 12% for a draw and 10% for an Arka win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lech Poznań | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lech Poznań is 450% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Lech Poznań · 0.4 pts / match - Arka Gdynia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
1.82 goals / match - Lech Poznań · 1 goals / match - Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznań is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Lech Poznań · 1.79 goals / match - Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznań scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Arka Gdynia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Arka Gdynia scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lech Poznań
Over / Under — Arka Gdynia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / match - Lech Poznań · 1 pts / match - Arka Gdynia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arka Gdynia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lech Poznań
Arka Gdynia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Lech Poznań | Liga | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.74 | • 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 52% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lech Poznań 0 - 0 - 1 Arka Gdynia. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lech Poznań vs Arka Gdynia?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Lech Poznań 1:1 Arka Gdynia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lech Poznań vs Arka Gdynia?
Lech Poznań score 1.82 goals per game on average and Arka Gdynia 1.00. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Lech Poznań's matches and 50% of Arka Gdynia's.
What form are Lech Poznań and Arka Gdynia in?
Over the last 5 games Lech Poznań have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Arka Gdynia 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lech Poznań vs Arka Gdynia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.