Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Białystok: match statistics
Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Białystok: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lech Poznań played Jagiellonia Białystok in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 3 September 2026. Venue: Enea stadion. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Lech Poznań: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match. Jagiellonia Białystok: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lech Poznań scores 2.00 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Jagiellonia Białystok scores 2.00 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lech Poznań 50%, Jagiellonia Białystok 50%. Over 2.5: Lech Poznań 75%, Jagiellonia Białystok 50%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Lech Poznań has higher xG: 2.07 vs 1.89. Lech Poznań: 18.0 shots per match, Jagiellonia Białystok: 15.5.
Match halves
Lech Poznań: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Jagiellonia Białystok: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Lech Poznań: 76-90+ (3 goals). Jagiellonia Białystok: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lech Poznań remain unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four and drawing one, with an 18:2 goal difference. At home, the hosts create chances worth an average of 2.02 xG and register 18.5 shots per match, while Jagiellonia allow opponents as much as 2.44 xG away from home. Lech’s defence has yet to concede a goal at home, with an average xG against of just 0.99—an important factor given the 1.53 xG created by the visitors away from home. Jagiellonia won their only away match so far and average 2 goals scored on the road, but they have yet to keep a clean sheet and concede an average of one goal per game. Lech’s advantage in current form, chance creation and defensive stability points to a moderately likely home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Lech have conceded just 0.4 goals per match in their last five games, kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, and BTTS - Yes occurred in only 20% of their last five outings. Jagiellonia display solid attacking strength, averaging 1.8 goals and 1.61 xG over their last five matches, but they will face a team currently allowing just 1.02 xG. The hosts should nevertheless score, having averaged 3.6 goals with 2.10 xG in their last five league rounds, while Jagiellonia conceded an average of 1.0 goal and allowed opponents 1.66 xG. Although the visitors recorded BTTS - Yes in 60% of their last five matches, Lech’s very strong defence slightly increases the likelihood of a BTTS - No scenario, in which at least one team—most notably Jagiellonia—fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Lech’s latest form clearly increases the match’s goal-scoring potential: in their last five games, the Poznań side averaged 3.6 goals scored, with an xG of 2.10. During this period, Jagiellonia conceded an average of 1.0 goal per match, while their average xG conceded reached as high as 1.66, which favors the home side. The visitors also have a strong case for finding the net, having averaged 1.8 goals scored across their last five appearances and created chances worth 1.61 xG per match. Lech are, however, highly consistent defensively, conceding just 0.4 goals per match in this run, so the larger share of the projected 3.35 goals should go to the hosts. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as even in a more cautious scenario, Lech’s high attacking quality and Jagiellonia’s weaker defense should be enough to produce at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Lech win, as both teams were level at the break in 40% of their last five matches. Lech, however, has shown a clearly stronger second-half profile: during this run, they have averaged 2.2 goals in the second halves and conceded none, while Jagiellonia have averaged 0.8 goals. The hosts are in excellent overall form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.6 goals and conceding just 0.4, whereas the visitors won 3 games in this period, averaging 1.8 goals scored. In recent first halves, Lech averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, but Jagiellonia have also averaged 1.0 goal, leaving realistic room for a cautious draw before the break. Home advantage and the hosts’ significantly stronger second-half performance support the expectation that Lech will take control after the interval.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lech Poznań | Jagiellonia Białystok | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lech Poznań is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2.5 pts / match - Lech Poznań · 2.25 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Lech Poznań · 1.25 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Lech Poznań scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Jagiellonia Białystok keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Jagiellonia Białystok scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lech Poznań
Over / Under - Jagiellonia Białystok
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jagiellonia Białystok - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lech Poznań
Jagiellonia Białystok
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Lech Poznań | Liga | Jagiellonia Białystok | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 3.00 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lech Poznań 0 - 2 - 0 Jagiellonia Białystok. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Lech Poznań 2:1 Jagiellonia Białystok. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lech Poznań and Jagiellonia Białystok?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lech Poznań won 0, Jagiellonia Białystok won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Lech Poznań score 2.00 goals per game on average and Jagiellonia Białystok 2.00. The Ekstraklasa average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lech Poznań's matches and 50% of Jagiellonia Białystok's.
What form are Lech Poznań and Jagiellonia Białystok in?
Over the last 5 games Lech Poznań have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and Jagiellonia Białystok 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Białystok: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.