Lech Poznań vs Piast Gliwice: match statistics
Lech Poznań holds the edge in this clash, despite their unstable home form. The hosts stand out with a significantly higher average ball possession (61% vs 56%) and a greater number of shots on goal per match (5.8 vs 3.3), highlighting their offensive potential. The key factor is their home advantage in expected goals (xG 1.95 vs xGA 1.41), while Piast Gliwice has a negative xG balance in away matches (1.48 vs 1.57). Although the visitors show excellent overall form in their last five matches (2.4 points per game), their poor away record (30% wins, 50% losses) and the fact they have failed to score in 30% of their away matches weaken their chances. The high average goals in the hosts' home matches (3.7 goals per game) suggests an open encounter. However, the quality of chances created points towards a Lech victory, though a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' 40% draw rate at home.
Lech Poznań vs Piast Gliwice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lech Poznań played Piast Gliwice in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Lech Poznań: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Piast Gliwice: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lech Poznań scores 1.55 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Piast Gliwice scores 1.10 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lech Poznań 70%, Piast Gliwice 45%. Over 2.5: Lech Poznań 65%, Piast Gliwice 40%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lech Poznań has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.65. Lech Poznań: 16.7 shots per match, Piast Gliwice: 14.2.
Match halves
Lech Poznań: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.85. Piast Gliwice: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Lech Poznań: 46-60 (8 goals). Piast Gliwice: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lech Poznań holds the edge in this clash, despite their unstable home form. The hosts stand out with a significantly higher average ball possession (61% vs 56%) and a greater number of shots on goal per match (5.8 vs 3.3), highlighting their offensive potential. The key factor is their home advantage in expected goals (xG 1.95 vs xGA 1.41), while Piast Gliwice has a negative xG balance in away matches (1.48 vs 1.57). Although the visitors show excellent overall form in their last five matches (2.4 points per game), their poor away record (30% wins, 50% losses) and the fact they have failed to score in 30% of their away matches weaken their chances. The high average goals in the hosts' home matches (3.7 goals per game) suggests an open encounter. However, the quality of chances created points towards a Lech victory, though a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' 40% draw rate at home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lech Poznań | Piast Gliwice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Piast Gliwice is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Lech Poznań · 2.4 pts / match - Piast Gliwice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Lech Poznań · 1.1 goals / match - Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Lech Poznań · 1.05 goals / match - Piast Gliwice
Lech Poznań scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Piast Gliwice keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Piast Gliwice scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lech Poznań
Over / Under - Piast Gliwice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Lech Poznań · 0.95 pts / match - Piast Gliwice
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Piast Gliwice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lech Poznań
Piast Gliwice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Lech Poznań | Liga | Piast Gliwice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lech Poznań 0 - 0 - 1 Piast Gliwice. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lech Poznań vs Piast Gliwice?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Lech Poznań 3:0 Piast Gliwice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lech Poznań vs Piast Gliwice?
Lech Poznań score 1.55 goals per game on average and Piast Gliwice 1.10. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Lech Poznań's matches and 45% of Piast Gliwice's.
What form are Lech Poznań and Piast Gliwice in?
Over the last 5 games Lech Poznań have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Piast Gliwice 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lech Poznań vs Piast Gliwice?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.