Lechia Gdańsk vs Pogoń Szczecin: match statistics
Lechia Gdańsk displays significantly better form in home matches, winning 50% of their home games and maintaining a positive goal difference (+10). The hosts score an average of 2.25 goals per match at home, which, given an xG of 1.76, indicates high efficiency. Pogoń Szczecin has very poor away statistics – winning only 17% of their away matches, with a negative goal difference (-12) and a high FTS% rate of 42%. Although the visitors have good form in their last five matches overall (2.4 PPG), their away form remains very poor (ldlwlldlllwl). Lechia's home ball possession (50% vs Pogoń's 54%) is relatively even, but the hosts' significantly higher shooting accuracy (16% vs 6%) and better defensive statistics in home matches speak in favor of a Lechia Gdańsk victory.
Lechia Gdańsk vs Pogoń Szczecin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lechia Gdańsk played Pogoń Szczecin in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Lechia Gdańsk: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Pogoń Szczecin: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lechia Gdańsk scores 1.96 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.40 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lechia Gdańsk 72%, Pogoń Szczecin 60%. Over 2.5: Lechia Gdańsk 72%, Pogoń Szczecin 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Pogoń Szczecin has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.64. Lechia Gdańsk: 13.4 shots per match, Pogoń Szczecin: 15.6.
Match halves
Lechia Gdańsk: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.08. Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Lechia Gdańsk: 76-90+ (13 goals). Pogoń Szczecin: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lechia Gdańsk displays significantly better form in home matches, winning 50% of their home games and maintaining a positive goal difference (+10). The hosts score an average of 2.25 goals per match at home, which, given an xG of 1.76, indicates high efficiency. Pogoń Szczecin has very poor away statistics – winning only 17% of their away matches, with a negative goal difference (-12) and a high FTS% rate of 42%. Although the visitors have good form in their last five matches overall (2.4 PPG), their away form remains very poor (ldlwlldlllwl). Lechia's home ball possession (50% vs Pogoń's 54%) is relatively even, but the hosts' significantly higher shooting accuracy (16% vs 6%) and better defensive statistics in home matches speak in favor of a Lechia Gdańsk victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lechia Gdańsk | Pogoń Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pogoń Szczecin is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Lechia Gdańsk · 2.4 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lechia Gdańsk is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Lechia Gdańsk · 1.4 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin
Pogoń Szczecin is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.88 goals / match - Lechia Gdańsk · 1.52 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin
Lechia Gdańsk scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Lechia Gdańsk keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lechia Gdańsk
Over / Under - Pogoń Szczecin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lechia Gdańsk is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Lechia Gdańsk · 1.16 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lechia Gdańsk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lechia Gdańsk
Pogoń Szczecin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Lechia Gdańsk | Liga | Pogoń Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.84 | 2.73 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 25% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 74% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lechia Gdańsk 1 - 0 - 0 Pogoń Szczecin. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lechia Gdańsk vs Pogoń Szczecin?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 Pogoń Szczecin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lechia Gdańsk vs Pogoń Szczecin?
Lechia Gdańsk score 1.96 goals per game on average and Pogoń Szczecin 1.40. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Lechia Gdańsk's matches and 60% of Pogoń Szczecin's.
What form are Lechia Gdańsk and Pogoń Szczecin in?
Over the last 5 games Lechia Gdańsk have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Pogoń Szczecin 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lechia Gdańsk vs Pogoń Szczecin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.