Leeds United vs Arsenal: match statistics
Arsenal, as the league leaders with 15 wins and just 3 losses this season, are in significantly better form than Leeds United, who sit in 16th place. The visitors have an impressive away record with 55% wins and 45% clean sheets, while Leeds have won just 45% of their home matches and concede an average of 1.18 goals per game. Arsenal dominates in possession (57% vs 46%) and has a better xG ratio (1.61 vs 1.59), indicating higher quality of play. Recent form from the last five matches also favors Arsenal (2.0 PPG vs 1.6 PPG), even though Leeds have shown improvement in recent home fixtures. The class difference between the leaders and a team fighting against relegation should translate into an away win.
Leeds United vs Arsenal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leeds United played Arsenal in Premier League (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Leeds United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Arsenal: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leeds United scores 1.35 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Arsenal scores 1.83 and concedes 0.74. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leeds United 65%, Arsenal 48%. Over 2.5: Leeds United 57%, Arsenal 48%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Arsenal has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.42. Leeds United: 12.9 shots per match, Arsenal: 14.9.
Match halves
Leeds United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65. Arsenal: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Leeds United: 31-45+ (10 goals). Arsenal: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arsenal, as the league leaders with 15 wins and just 3 losses this season, are in significantly better form than Leeds United, who sit in 16th place. The visitors have an impressive away record with 55% wins and 45% clean sheets, while Leeds have won just 45% of their home matches and concede an average of 1.18 goals per game. Arsenal dominates in possession (57% vs 46%) and has a better xG ratio (1.61 vs 1.59), indicating higher quality of play. Recent form from the last five matches also favors Arsenal (2.0 PPG vs 1.6 PPG), even though Leeds have shown improvement in recent home fixtures. The class difference between the leaders and a team fighting against relegation should translate into an away win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leeds United | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arsenal is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Leeds United · 1.6 pts / match - Arsenal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arsenal is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Leeds United · 1.83 goals / match - Arsenal
Arsenal is 123% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Leeds United · 0.74 goals / match - Arsenal
Leeds United scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
Arsenal scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Leeds United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leeds United
Over / Under - Arsenal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arsenal is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Leeds United · 1.7 pts / match - Arsenal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leeds United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arsenal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leeds United
Arsenal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Leeds United | Liga | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leeds United 0 - 0 - 1 Arsenal. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leeds United vs Arsenal?
The Premier League match finished Leeds United 0:4 Arsenal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leeds United vs Arsenal?
Leeds United score 1.35 goals per game on average and Arsenal 1.83. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Leeds United's matches and 48% of Arsenal's.
What form are Leeds United and Arsenal in?
Over the last 5 games Leeds United have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Arsenal 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leeds United vs Arsenal?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.