Leeds United vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Leeds United played Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The match was played on 23 November 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Leeds United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Aston Villa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Leeds United scores 0.91 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Aston Villa scores 1.18 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Leeds United 45%, Aston Villa 36%. Over 2.5: Leeds United 64%, Aston Villa 45%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Leeds United has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.26. Leeds United: 12.0 shots per match, Aston Villa: 10.8.

Match halves

Leeds United: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.18. Aston Villa: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Leeds United: 31-45+ (5 goals). Aston Villa: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
14Shots14
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
5Shots on target3
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
1.61xG1.37
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
3Corners3
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
51Dangerous attacks38
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
18Fouls16
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
5Cards1
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Leeds UnitedAston Villa
0.91Goals scored / match1.18
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
1.82Goals conceded / match0.91
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
48%Average possession54%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
3.45Shots on target / match3.55
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match10.82
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
3.45Shots on target3.55
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
7.6%Shot conversion10.9%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
48%Possession54%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
1.31xG for1.26
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
1.3xG against1.35
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

Shooting quality

Leeds United: BalancedAston Villa: Balanced
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
Accuracy (shots on target)29%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aston Villa is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Leeds United · 2.4 pts / match - Aston Villa

Leeds United
LLWLL
Season result split
27% W18% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Aston Villa
WWWLW
Season result split
45% W27% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-3
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aston Villa is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

0.91 goals / match - Leeds United · 1.18 goals / match - Aston Villa

Aston Villa is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.82 goals / match - Leeds United · 0.91 goals / match - Aston Villa

Leeds United scoring profile: mixed

Leeds United scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

Aston Villa scoring profile: strong

Aston Villa scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Leeds United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

10Goals scored (season)13
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
20Goals conceded (season)10
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
2.73Average goals in match2.09
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
4Goals scored (last 5)9
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
11Goals conceded (last 5)4
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal55%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
27%2 goals36%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
9%3 goals18%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
0%4 goals9%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal64%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
55%2 goals18%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
27%3 goals9%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
9%4 goals0%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time18%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
9%BTTS in both halves0%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
9%Scored in both halves36%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
60%BTTS - last 540%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
55%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aston Villa is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.09 pts / match - Leeds United · 1.27 pts / match - Aston Villa

Leeds United - half-time state
18% leading55% draw27% trailing
Aston Villa - half-time state
27% leading45% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.09Points per match (1st half)1.27
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
1.45Average goals (1st half)1
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
36%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
55%No goal before half-time55%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

After half-time (2nd half)

0.55Points per match (2nd half)1.36
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
0.18Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
1.09Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.09
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
27%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa
82%No goal after half-time55%
Leeds UnitedAston Villa

Leeds United - second-half results

9% W27% R64% P
12
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aston Villa - second-half results

27% W55% R18% P
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Leeds United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.00
Goals scored / match0.80.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference0-7
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Aston Villa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Leeds United
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
0
3
16-30
5
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
0
4
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Aston Villa
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Leeds United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.92
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Aston Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Leeds UnitedLigaAston Villa
Average goals in match 2.732.73 2.09
Both teams scored 45%50% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%56% 45%
Clean sheets 18%28% 36%
Goal before half-time 73%75% 73%
Goal after half-time 82%80% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Leeds UnitedGoalLukas Nmecha
  2. Leeds UnitedSubstitutionOn: Ao TanakaOff: Anton Stach
  3. Leeds UnitedYellow cardJayden Bogle
  4. Leeds UnitedYellow cardAo Tanaka
  5. Aston VillaGoalMorgan RogersAssist: Donyell Malen
  6. Aston VillaYellow cardJohn McGinn
  7. Leeds UnitedYellow cardEthan Kwame Colm Raymond Ampadu
  8. Leeds UnitedYellow cardPascal Augustus Struijk
  9. Aston VillaGoalMorgan Rogers
  10. Leeds UnitedYellow cardDegnand Wilfried Gnonto

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Robert JonesMatches officiated: 18
4.17Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 261%Home wins17%Draws22%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Leeds United vs Aston Villa?

The Premier League match finished Leeds United 1:2 Aston Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Leeds United vs Aston Villa?

Leeds United score 0.91 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.18. The Premier League average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Leeds United's matches and 36% of Aston Villa's.

What form are Leeds United and Aston Villa in?

Over the last 5 games Leeds United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Aston Villa 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leeds United vs Aston Villa?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leeds United vs Aston Villa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.