England - Premier LeagueElland RoadData current as of 17 October 2026

Leeds United vs Manchester United: match statistics

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Leeds United vs Manchester United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Leeds United play Manchester United in Premier League (England). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Elland Road.

Current form

Leeds United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Manchester United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Leeds United scores 1.33 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Manchester United scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.95 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Leeds United 67%, Manchester United 67%. Over 2.5: Leeds United 33%, Manchester United 33%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Manchester United has higher xG: 2.15 vs 1.29. Leeds United: 12.0 shots per match, Manchester United: 20.8.

Match halves

Leeds United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Manchester United: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33.

Goals by minute

Leeds United: 31-45+ (3 goals). Manchester United: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.55)
(3.60)
(2.63)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Leeds UnitedManchester United
1.33Goals scored / match1.5
Leeds UnitedManchester United
0.83Goals conceded / match1.5
Leeds UnitedManchester United
45%Average possession58%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
3.83Shots on target / match5.33
Leeds UnitedManchester United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match20.83
Leeds UnitedManchester United
3.83Shots on target5.33
Leeds UnitedManchester United
11.1%Shot conversion7.2%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
45%Possession58%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
1.29xG for2.15
Leeds UnitedManchester United
1.64xG against1.29
Leeds UnitedManchester United

Shooting quality

Leeds United: BalancedManchester United: Dominant
Leeds UnitedManchester United
Accuracy (shots on target)32%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Leeds United
DDWDL
Season result split
33% W50% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
DWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Manchester United
WDLDD
Season result split
17% W50% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
LDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.11Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Manchester United is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Leeds United · 1.5 goals / match - Manchester United

Leeds United is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.83 goals / match - Leeds United · 1.5 goals / match - Manchester United

Leeds United scoring profile: very strong

Leeds United scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

Manchester United scoring profile: strong

Manchester United scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Leeds United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

8Goals scored (season)9
Leeds UnitedManchester United
5Goals conceded (season)9
Leeds UnitedManchester United
2.17Average goals in match3
Leeds UnitedManchester United
7Goals scored (last 5)9
Leeds UnitedManchester United
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Leeds UnitedManchester United

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
17%2 goals33%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
17%3 goals17%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
17%4 goals17%
Leeds UnitedManchester United

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal100%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
17%2 goals50%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
0%3 goals0%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
0%4 goals0%
Leeds UnitedManchester United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time17%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
0%BTTS in both halves17%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
17%Scored in both halves17%
Leeds UnitedManchester United

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
80%BTTS - last 580%
Leeds UnitedManchester United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Leeds UnitedManchester United

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Leeds UnitedManchester United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Leeds United is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Leeds United · 0.83 pts / match - Manchester United

Leeds United - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing
Manchester United - half-time state
0% leading83% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)0.83
Leeds UnitedManchester United
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.17
Leeds UnitedManchester United
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Leeds UnitedManchester United
0.83Average goals (1st half)0.67
Leeds UnitedManchester United
83%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
67%No goal before half-time83%
Leeds UnitedManchester United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.17
Leeds UnitedManchester United
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
Leeds UnitedManchester United
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Leeds UnitedManchester United
1.33Average goals (2nd half)2.33
Leeds UnitedManchester United
50%Clean sheet after half-time17%
Leeds UnitedManchester United
33%No goal after half-time33%
Leeds UnitedManchester United

Leeds United - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Manchester United - second-half results

17% W67% D17% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Leeds United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Manchester United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.42.8
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Leeds United
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Manchester United
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Leeds United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.81
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Manchester United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.86
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Leeds UnitedLigaManchester United
Average goals in match▼ 2.172.95• 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 67%55%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%57%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 33%27%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%58%▼ 33%
Goal after half-time• 83%83%• 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Leeds United 1 - 1 - 0 Manchester United. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Leeds United and Manchester United play?

Leeds United face Manchester United on 18 October 2026 in Premier League at Elland Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Leeds United and Manchester United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Leeds United won 1, Manchester United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Leeds United vs Manchester United?

Leeds United score 1.33 goals per game on average and Manchester United 1.50. The Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Leeds United's matches and 67% of Manchester United's.

What form are Leeds United and Manchester United in?

Over the last 5 games Leeds United have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Manchester United 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leeds United vs Manchester United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.