Legia Warszawa vs Górnik Zabrze: match statistics
Legia Warszawa vs Górnik Zabrze: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Legia Warszawa play Górnik Zabrze in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 20:15. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Legia Warszawa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Górnik Zabrze: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Legia Warszawa scores 1.24 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Górnik Zabrze scores 1.47 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Legia Warszawa 56%, Górnik Zabrze 50%. Over 2.5: Legia Warszawa 41%, Górnik Zabrze 47%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Górnik Zabrze has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.68. Legia Warszawa: 14.4 shots per match, Górnik Zabrze: 16.1.
Match halves
Legia Warszawa: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.74. Górnik Zabrze: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Legia Warszawa: 76-90+ (13 goals). Górnik Zabrze: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (1) based on a clear advantage in home-match metrics. Legia scores 1.23 goals and concedes 0.85 per home game, while Górnik averages 0.92 goals and concedes 1.46 on the road, with a -7 goal difference away. Legia posts higher home xG (1.81 vs Górnik’s 1.56 away) and records 4.92 shots on target per match compared to the visitors’ 3.23, with conversion rates of 8% vs 7%, indicating superior chance quality. Górnik’s case rests on form over the last five matches—2.2 points per game versus Legia’s 1.8 and an identical 7 goals scored in that span, while Górnik conceded only 1 goal compared to Legia’s 4. Considering Legia’s higher xG, stronger home defense and positive home goal difference (+5 for Legia vs -7 for Górnik away), I estimate a 60% probability for a Legia win, 25% for a draw and 15% for an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Legia Warszawa | Górnik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Legia Warszawa is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Legia Warszawa · 2 pts / match - Górnik Zabrze
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Górnik Zabrze is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Legia Warszawa · 1.47 goals / match - Górnik Zabrze
Legia Warszawa scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Górnik Zabrze keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Górnik Zabrze scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Legia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Legia Warszawa
Over / Under — Górnik Zabrze
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Legia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Górnik Zabrze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Legia Warszawa
Górnik Zabrze
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Legia Warszawa | Liga | Górnik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.74 | ▼ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Legia Warszawa 0 - 0 - 1 Górnik Zabrze. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Legia Warszawa vs Górnik Zabrze?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Legia Warszawa 1:1 Górnik Zabrze. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Legia Warszawa vs Górnik Zabrze?
Legia Warszawa score 1.24 goals per game on average and Górnik Zabrze 1.47. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Legia Warszawa's matches and 50% of Górnik Zabrze's.
What form are Legia Warszawa and Górnik Zabrze in?
Over the last 5 games Legia Warszawa have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Górnik Zabrze 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Legia Warszawa vs Górnik Zabrze?
The statistical background for Legia Warszawa vs Górnik Zabrze — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.