Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly matched, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Legia Warszawa in home matches shows mixed form with 44% draws and only 33% wins, conceding an average of 0.78 goals per match. Korona Kielce away also frequently draws (44% of matches), and their recent form (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches) demonstrates stability. Both teams have an identical shot conversion rate (7%) and similar xG values, indicating an even quality of play. Legia has an advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%), but their poor form in the last 5 matches (only 0.8 points per match) and a high percentage of matches without scoring a goal (44%) weaken their position. Considering all factors, I expect a fierce contest with a slight advantage for the hosts, but a draw seems the most sensible prediction.
Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Legia Warszawa played Korona Kielce in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Legia Warszawa: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Korona Kielce: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Legia Warszawa scores 1.06 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Korona Kielce scores 1.17 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Legia Warszawa 56%, Korona Kielce 44%. Over 2.5: Legia Warszawa 39%, Korona Kielce 33%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Legia Warszawa has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.66. Legia Warszawa: 16.2 shots per match, Korona Kielce: 15.1.
Match halves
Legia Warszawa: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.72. Korona Kielce: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Legia Warszawa: 76-90+ (6 goals). Korona Kielce: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly matched, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Legia Warszawa in home matches shows mixed form with 44% draws and only 33% wins, conceding an average of 0.78 goals per match. Korona Kielce away also frequently draws (44% of matches), and their recent form (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches) demonstrates stability. Both teams have an identical shot conversion rate (7%) and similar xG values, indicating an even quality of play. Legia has an advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%), but their poor form in the last 5 matches (only 0.8 points per match) and a high percentage of matches without scoring a goal (44%) weaken their position. Considering all factors, I expect a fierce contest with a slight advantage for the hosts, but a draw seems the most sensible prediction.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Legia Warszawa | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Korona Kielce is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Legia Warszawa · 1 pts / match - Korona Kielce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Korona Kielce is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Legia Warszawa · 1.17 goals / match - Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Legia Warszawa · 1.06 goals / match - Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Korona Kielce keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Korona Kielce scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Legia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Legia Warszawa
Over / Under - Korona Kielce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Korona Kielce is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Legia Warszawa · 1.22 pts / match - Korona Kielce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Legia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Korona Kielce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Legia Warszawa
Korona Kielce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Legia Warszawa | Liga | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 82% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Legia Warszawa 1 - 0 - 0 Korona Kielce. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Legia Warszawa 1:2 Korona Kielce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
Legia Warszawa score 1.06 goals per game on average and Korona Kielce 1.17. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Legia Warszawa's matches and 44% of Korona Kielce's.
What form are Legia Warszawa and Korona Kielce in?
Over the last 5 games Legia Warszawa have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Korona Kielce 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
The statistical background for Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.