Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely balanced, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Legia Warszawa displays solid home form with a 42% win rate at home and only 0.83 goals conceded on average per match, showcasing defensive stability. Raków Częstochowa has an identical away record (46% wins and 46% losses), but concedes an average of 1.62 goals per match on the road, which could be problematic. A key factor supporting a draw is both teams' form in their last 5 matches – Legia has a streak of 5 draws (DWDWD), while Raków has lost 3 of their last 5 games (WWLLL). The minor difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.79 for Legia vs 1.74 for Raków) and a similar average of shots on target (5.17 vs 5.77) indicate a tactical balance that often ends with a share of the points.
Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Legia Warszawa played Raków Częstochowa in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Legia Warszawa: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Raków Częstochowa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Legia Warszawa scores 1.16 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Raków Częstochowa scores 1.36 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Legia Warszawa 64%, Raków Częstochowa 52%. Over 2.5: Legia Warszawa 44%, Raków Częstochowa 48%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Legia Warszawa has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.73. Legia Warszawa: 15.3 shots per match, Raków Częstochowa: 14.5.
Match halves
Legia Warszawa: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72. Raków Częstochowa: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Legia Warszawa: 76-90+ (10 goals). Raków Częstochowa: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely balanced, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Legia Warszawa displays solid home form with a 42% win rate at home and only 0.83 goals conceded on average per match, showcasing defensive stability. Raków Częstochowa has an identical away record (46% wins and 46% losses), but concedes an average of 1.62 goals per match on the road, which could be problematic. A key factor supporting a draw is both teams' form in their last 5 matches – Legia has a streak of 5 draws (DWDWD), while Raków has lost 3 of their last 5 games (WWLLL). The minor difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.79 for Legia vs 1.74 for Raków) and a similar average of shots on target (5.17 vs 5.77) indicate a tactical balance that often ends with a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Legia Warszawa | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Legia Warszawa is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Legia Warszawa · 1.4 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raków Częstochowa is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Legia Warszawa · 1.36 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Legia Warszawa · 1.28 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Raków Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Raków Częstochowa scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Legia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Legia Warszawa
Over / Under - Raków Częstochowa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Raków Częstochowa is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Legia Warszawa · 1.24 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Legia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Raków Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Legia Warszawa | Liga | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.73 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 58% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Legia Warszawa 0 - 1 - 0 Raków Częstochowa. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Legia Warszawa 1:1 Raków Częstochowa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Legia Warszawa score 1.16 goals per game on average and Raków Częstochowa 1.36. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Legia Warszawa's matches and 52% of Raków Częstochowa's.
What form are Legia Warszawa and Raków Częstochowa in?
Over the last 5 games Legia Warszawa have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Raków Częstochowa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
The statistical background for Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.