Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź: match statistics
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Legia Warszawa played Widzew Łódź in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 1 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Legia Warszawa: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Widzew Łódź: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Legia Warszawa scores 1.13 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Widzew Łódź scores 1.20 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Legia Warszawa 60%, Widzew Łódź 50%. Over 2.5: Legia Warszawa 40%, Widzew Łódź 47%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Legia Warszawa has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.49. Legia Warszawa: 14.8 shots per match, Widzew Łódź: 13.3.
Match halves
Legia Warszawa: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.70. Widzew Łódź: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Legia Warszawa: 76-90+ (11 goals). Widzew Łódź: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Legia has a clear statistical edge: the hosts concede an average of 0.8 goals at home versus 1.53 conceded by Widzew away, while Legia’s average xG is 1.77 compared to the visitors’ 1.42. Legia creates more chances (15.33 shots and 4.53 on target per home match) versus Widzew’s 12.2 and 3.87, and also has a higher clean sheet rate (40% vs 20%). In the last 5 matches both teams scored 5 goals and average 1.6 points per game, but Widzew conceded only 3 goals in those five fixtures versus 6 for Legia, indicating a short-term defensive improvement for the visitors. Season-long ratios confirm the home advantage: Legia won 40% of home games, while Widzew won only 20% of away matches, with 67% away losses, so I assign a higher probability to a Legia win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG and chance-creation analysis points to a realistic prospect of both teams scoring: Legia produces xG 1.60 versus the average xG conceded by Widzew of 1.47 (difference +0.13), while Widzew has xG 1.42 against Legia’s defensive xG 1.31 (difference +0.11), with average shots 14.4 vs 12.2 and shots on target 4.33 vs 3.87. Season BTTS rates are 47% for Legia and 53% for Widzew, and the league records 59% of matches with both teams scoring, which further supports the BTTS scenario. Counterarguments are Legia’s high share of clean sheets at home (47%) and the fact that in the last 5 matches for both teams BTTS occurred only 40% of the time, weakening the short-term signal. Nonetheless, the goals averages 1.27 (Legia) and 1.13 (Widzew) and season goals conceded 0.93 (Legia) and 1.53 (Widzew) together with the xG advantage provide a stronger signal for Both Teams To Score, so I tip "BTTS - Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect about 2.90 goals in the match: 1.54 for Legia and 1.36 for Widzew, calculated as the average between home attack xG (1.60) and away xG conceded (1.47), and between away attack xG (1.42) and home xG conceded (1.31). Both teams have a high share of matches over 1.5 goals: Legia 67% and Widzew 73% (average 70%), and the league averages 2.73 goals per game, so I estimate Over 1.5 at around 75%. For the 2.5 line the season rates are 40% (Legia) and 53% (Widzew), ~47% on average, but the combined xG of both teams 1.60+1.42=3.02 and the projected 2.90 push the probability of Over 2.5 to about 58%. For 3.5 both teams have low seasonal values of 20% and despite shooting activity (home shots on target 4.33, away 3.87) I give Over 3.5 only ~22%. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (pick: over, line 1.5) due to 70%+ seasonal matches above 1.5 and our expected 2.90 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Legia is the clear favorite: they average 1.67 points per match versus Widzew’s 0.73 and win 47% of games compared to the visitors’ 20% wins, with home xG 1.60 against Widzew’s 1.42. At half-time, however, draws are more common — Legia led at the break in 5 of 15 matches (33%), while the score was level at half in 8 of 15 (53%); Legia scores an average of 0.6 goals by half-time, Widzew 0.4, with each side conceding 0.47 on average before the break. The second half decisively favors Legia: hosts average 1.47 points in second halves and concede only 0.47 goals after the break, whereas Widzew concedes 1.07 goals on average after half-time and as many as 10 goals in minutes 76–90 (hosts 5). Due to the high share of draws at half-time (53%) and Legia’s clear advantage late in matches, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home victory by full-time (X/1, 26%); Legia leading at half-time and winning (1/1) is also a significant signal (24%). Scenarios with a Widzew win are unlikely (about 13% combined for all ‘2’ combinations), given their low 20% win rate and the large number of goals they concede after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Legia Warszawa | Widzew Łódź | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Widzew Łódź is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Legia Warszawa · 1.2 goals / match - Widzew Łódź
Legia Warszawa scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Widzew Łódź keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Widzew Łódź scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Legia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Legia Warszawa
Over / Under - Widzew Łódź
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Widzew Łódź is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Legia Warszawa · 1.33 pts / match - Widzew Łódź
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Legia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Widzew Łódź - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Łódź
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Legia Warszawa | Liga | Widzew Łódź | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Legia Warszawa 0 - 1 - 0 Widzew Łódź. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Legia Warszawa 1:0 Widzew Łódź. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź?
Legia Warszawa score 1.13 goals per game on average and Widzew Łódź 1.20. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Legia Warszawa's matches and 50% of Widzew Łódź's.
What form are Legia Warszawa and Widzew Łódź in?
Over the last 5 games Legia Warszawa have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Widzew Łódź 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.