Leicester City vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Leicester City played Derby County in Championship (England). The match was played on 29 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Leicester City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Derby County: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Leicester City scores 1.39 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.39 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Leicester City 74%, Derby County 74%. Over 2.5: Leicester City 61%, Derby County 48%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Leicester City has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.13. Leicester City: 12.1 shots per match, Derby County: 9.5.

Match halves

Leicester City: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.70. Derby County: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Leicester City: 76-90+ (8 goals). Derby County: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
Leicester CityDerby County
8Shots9
Leicester CityDerby County
2Shots on target2
Leicester CityDerby County
0.98xG0.99
Leicester CityDerby County
3Corners4
Leicester CityDerby County
44Dangerous attacks38
Leicester CityDerby County
10Fouls12
Leicester CityDerby County
1Cards2
Leicester CityDerby County

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Leicester CityDerby County
1.39Goals scored / match1.39
Leicester CityDerby County
1.43Goals conceded / match1.35
Leicester CityDerby County
53%Average possession41%
Leicester CityDerby County
3.87Shots on target / match3.22
Leicester CityDerby County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.09Shots per match9.48
Leicester CityDerby County
3.87Shots on target3.22
Leicester CityDerby County
11.5%Shot conversion14.7%
Leicester CityDerby County
53%Possession41%
Leicester CityDerby County
1.36xG for1.13
Leicester CityDerby County
1.45xG against1.47
Leicester CityDerby County

Shooting quality

Leicester City: BalancedDerby County: Counter-attacking
Leicester CityDerby County
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Leicester City is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Leicester City · 1.2 pts / match - Derby County

Leicester City
WDWLL
Season result split
35% W30% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-8
1.35 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Derby County
LDWDD
Season result split
35% W35% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-7
1.39 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Derby County is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - Leicester City · 1.35 goals / match - Derby County

Leicester City scoring profile: very strong

Leicester City scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).

Derby County scoring profile: very strong

Derby County scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Leicester City keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).

32Goals scored (season)32
Leicester CityDerby County
33Goals conceded (season)31
Leicester CityDerby County
2.83Average goals in match2.74
Leicester CityDerby County
10Goals scored (last 5)7
Leicester CityDerby County
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
Leicester CityDerby County

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal91%
Leicester CityDerby County
43%2 goals35%
Leicester CityDerby County
13%3 goals13%
Leicester CityDerby County
0%4 goals0%
Leicester CityDerby County

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal83%
Leicester CityDerby County
39%2 goals26%
Leicester CityDerby County
13%3 goals17%
Leicester CityDerby County
4%4 goals4%
Leicester CityDerby County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time13%
Leicester CityDerby County
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Leicester CityDerby County
17%Scored in both halves26%
Leicester CityDerby County

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Leicester CityDerby County
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Leicester CityDerby County
100%BTTS - last 580%
Leicester CityDerby County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Leicester CityDerby County
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
Leicester CityDerby County
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Leicester CityDerby County

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Leicester CityDerby County
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Leicester CityDerby County
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Leicester CityDerby County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derby County is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / match - Leicester City · 1.52 pts / match - Derby County

Leicester City - half-time state
39% leading17% draw43% trailing
Derby County - half-time state
39% leading35% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per match (1st half)1.52
Leicester CityDerby County
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.61
Leicester CityDerby County
0.87Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Leicester CityDerby County
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.13
Leicester CityDerby County
52%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Leicester CityDerby County
52%No goal before half-time48%
Leicester CityDerby County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per match (2nd half)1.43
Leicester CityDerby County
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Leicester CityDerby County
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Leicester CityDerby County
1.26Average goals (2nd half)1.61
Leicester CityDerby County
48%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Leicester CityDerby County
48%No goal after half-time35%
Leicester CityDerby County

Leicester City - second-half results

43% W22% D35% L
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Derby County - second-half results

35% W39% D26% L
35
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Leicester City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match1.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.61.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Derby County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Leicester City
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
8
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
6
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
4
3
16-30
7
4
31-45
8
2
46-60
5
8
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.78
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
74%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
76%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Leicester City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Leicester CityLigaDerby County
Average goals in match 2.832.63 2.74
Both teams scored 74%59% 74%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%51% 48%
Clean sheets 13%23% 17%
Goal before half-time 87%74% 78%
Goal after half-time 87%78% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Derby CountyGoalRhian BrewsterAssist: Callum Elder
  2. Leicester CityGoalJordan JamesAssist: Luke Thomas
  3. Leicester CitySubstitutionOn: Ricardo Domingos Barbosa PereiraOff: Hamza Choudhury
  4. Derby CountySubstitutionOn: Andreas WeimannOff: Bobby Clark
  5. Leicester CityYellow cardJordan James
  6. Derby CountyYellow cardLiam Thompson
  7. Derby CountyYellow cardKayden Jackson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Gavin WardMatches officiated: 23
3.09Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 252%Home wins17%Draws30%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Leicester City 1 - 0 - 0 Derby County. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Leicester City vs Derby County?

The Championship match finished Leicester City 2:1 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Leicester City vs Derby County?

Leicester City score 1.39 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.39. The Championship average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Leicester City's matches and 74% of Derby County's.

What form are Leicester City and Derby County in?

Over the last 5 games Leicester City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Derby County 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leicester City vs Derby County?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.