Leicester City vs Peterborough United: match statistics
Leicester City vs Peterborough United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leicester City played Peterborough United in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: King Power Stadium. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Leicester City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Peterborough United: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leicester City scores 1.29 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Peterborough United scores 0.50 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leicester City 57%, Peterborough United 38%. Over 2.5: Leicester City 43%, Peterborough United 38%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Leicester City has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.39. Leicester City: 15.6 shots per match, Peterborough United: 13.4.
Match halves
Leicester City: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43. Peterborough United: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Leicester City: 31-45+ (3 goals). Peterborough United: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leicester have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals in the process, while Peterborough have recorded 1 win and scored 7 goals over the same period. At home, the hosts average 1 goal per match but concede 2, leaving their defence vulnerable. The visitors also concede an average of 2 goals away from home, while scoring just 0.25 and failing to find the net in 75% of those matches. Leicester create chances at home worth an average xG of 1.58, slightly higher than Peterborough’s away xG of 1.40, and register more shots on target: 4.33 compared with 3.75. Despite Leicester’s poor home form, having lost 2 of their 3 matches, Peterborough’s failure to win any of their 4 away games tips the balance in favour of the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Peterborough’s away scoring record: the visitors average just 0.25 goals and have failed to score in 75% of such matches. Leicester also have a modest home average of 0.75 goals and have drawn a blank in 50% of their matches, although Peterborough concede an average of 2.0 goals away from home. Peterborough’s away games have seen both teams score in 25% of cases, compared with 50% of Leicester’s home matches. Recent form offers a counterpoint: both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five matches, with average xG figures of 2.10 and 1.71, respectively. Despite this improvement, Peterborough’s away scoring record suggests it is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Leicester averaged 2.6 goals scored, while Peterborough conceded 1.6, giving the hosts a clear opportunity to find the net. Both teams went Over 1.5 goals in 75% of their home and away matches, although Leicester averaged just 0.75 goals and Peterborough 0.25 in those games. Caution is warranted on higher lines, as Over 2.5 goals landed in 50% of Leicester’s home matches and 25% of Peterborough’s away matches. Despite the discrepancy between these recent results and the home/away data, the 2.75-goal forecast and the consistent frequency of matches with at least two goals make Over 1.5 the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Leicester led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals in the first half, while Peterborough led only once. The case for the hosts maintaining their advantage is also supported by their stronger recent form: 3 wins in 5 matches compared with 1 win for the visitors. Peterborough average 0.25 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away from home, while Leicester record a home xG of 1.39, compared with the 1.79 xG the visitors allow. Caution is warranted, however, as Leicester did not lead at the break in any of the 4 home matches included in the sample, making a half-time draw followed by a home win a significant alternative. Nevertheless, Leicester’s marked improvement over their last 5 appearances means I consider the hosts leading at half-time and going on to win the most likely single scenario in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leicester City | Peterborough United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leicester City is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Leicester City · 0.4 pts / match - Peterborough United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leicester City is 158% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Leicester City · 0.5 goals / match - Peterborough United
Leicester City scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Peterborough United keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Peterborough United scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while Leicester City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leicester City
Over / Under - Peterborough United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leicester City is 214% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Leicester City · 0.5 pts / match - Peterborough United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leicester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Peterborough United - second-half results
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leicester City
Peterborough United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Leicester City | Liga | Peterborough United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.86 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 61% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 54% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 24% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 83% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Leicester City vs Peterborough United?
The EFL League One match finished Leicester City 1:3 Peterborough United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leicester City vs Peterborough United?
Leicester City score 1.29 goals per game on average and Peterborough United 0.50. The EFL League One average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Leicester City's matches and 38% of Peterborough United's.
What form are Leicester City and Peterborough United in?
Over the last 5 games Leicester City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Peterborough United 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leicester City vs Peterborough United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.